- 著者
- Misa Takegami Yoshihiro Miyamoto Satoshi Yasuda Michikazu Nakai Kunihiro Nishimura Hisao Ogawa Ken-ichi Hirata Ryuji Toh Yoshihiro Morino Motoyuki Nakamura Yasuchika Takeishi Hiroaki Shimokawa Hiroaki Naito
- 出版者
- 日本循環器学会
- 雑誌
- Circulation Journal (ISSN:13469843)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.79, no.5, pp.1000-1008, 2015-04-24 (Released:2015-04-24)
- 参考文献数
- 27
- 被引用文献数
- 1 23
Background:Large earthquakes have been associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality. In Japan, the 1995 Great Hanshin-Awaji (H-A) Earthquake was an urban-underground-type earthquake, whereas the 2011 Great East Japan (GEJ) Earthquake was an ocean-trench type. In the present study, we examined how these different earthquake types affected CVD mortality.Methods and Results:We examined death certificate data from 2008 to 2012 for 131 municipalities in Iwate, Miyagi, and Fukushima prefectures (n=320,348) and from 1992 to 1996 for 220 municipalities in Hyogo, Osaka, and Kyoto prefectures (n=592,670). A Poisson regression model showed significant increases in the monthly numbers of acute myocardial infarction (AMI)-related deaths (incident rate ratio [IRR] GEJ=1.34, P=0.001; IRR of H-A=1.57, P<0.001) and stroke-related deaths (IRR of GEJ=1.42, P<0.001; IRR of H-A=1.33, P<0.001) after the earthquakes. Two months after the earthquakes, AMI deaths remained significant only for H-A (IRR=1.13, P=0.029). When analyzing the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) after the earthquakes using the Cochran-Armitage trend test, seismic intensity was significantly associated with AMI mortality for 2 weeks after both the GEJ (P for trend=0.089) and H-A earthquakes (P for trend=0.005).Conclusions:Following the GEJ and H-A earthquakes, there was a sharp increase in CVD mortality. The effect of the disaster was sustained for months after the H-A earthquake, but was diminished after the GEJ Earthquake. (Circ J 2015; 79: 1000–1008)
- 著者
- Shunsuke Murata Misa Takegami Daisuke Onozuka Yuriko Nakaoku Akihito Hagihara Kunihiro Nishimura
- 出版者
- Japan Epidemiological Association
- 雑誌
- Journal of Epidemiology (ISSN:09175040)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- pp.JE20200113, (Released:2020-06-27)
- 参考文献数
- 19
- 被引用文献数
- 5
Background. Dementia-related missing and subsequent deaths are becoming serious problems with increases in people with dementia. However, there are no sufficient studies investigating the incidence rate, the mortality rate, and their risk factors.Methods. An ecological study aggregated at the Japanese prefectural level was conducted. Dementia-related missing persons cases and deaths in 2018 were extracted from the statistics of the National Police Agency in Japan. We extracted variables about older adults’ characteristics, care, and safety as candidate variables considered to be relevant to dementia-related missing persons cases and deaths. Associations of the candidate variables with the incidence and mortality rates were analyzed using the generalized linear model (family: quasi-poisson, link: log) adjusted for confounding factors (proportion of older adults and gross prefectural product).Results. The incidence rate and mortality rate per 100,000 person-year was 21.72 and 0.652 in Japan, respectively. One facility increase in the number of nursing care facilities for older adults per 100,000 persons aged 65-years-old or more was associated with a 7.9% (95% confidence interval, 3.3–12.4) decrease in the incidence rate. One increase in the number of public health nurses per 100,000 persons was associated with a 3.2% (1.6–4.9) decrease in the incidence rate. A ten percent increase in the proportion of people who live in an urban area was associated with a 20.3% (8.7–33.2) increase in the incidence rate and a 12.9% (5.6–19.8) decrease in the mortality rate.Conclusions. Identified associated factors may be useful for managing or predicting dementia-related missing persons cases and associated deaths.
- 著者
- Michikazu Nakai Makoto Watanabe Yoshihiro Kokubo Kunihiro Nishimura Aya Higashiyama Misa Takegami Yoko M Nakao Tomonori Okamura Yoshihiro Miyamoto
- 出版者
- Japan Atherosclerosis Society
- 雑誌
- Journal of Atherosclerosis and Thrombosis (ISSN:13403478)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- pp.48843, (Released:2020-02-06)
- 参考文献数
- 41
- 被引用文献数
- 29
Aim: To construct a risk prediction model for cardiovascular disease (CVD) based on the Suita study, an urban Japanese cohort study, and compare its accuracy against the Framingham CVD risk score (FRS) model. Methods: After excluding participants with missing data or those who lost to follow-up, this study consisted of 3,080 men and 3,470 women participants aged 30–79 years without CVD at baseline in 1989–1999. The main outcome of this study was incidence of CVD, defined as the incidence of stroke or coronary heart disease. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models with stepwise selection were used to develop the prediction model. To assess model performance, concordance statistics (C-statistics) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using a bootstrap procedure. A calibration test was also conducted. Results: During a median follow-up period of 16.9 years, 351 men and 241 women developed CVD. We formulated risk models with and without electrocardiogram (ECG) data that included age, sex, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, diabetes mellitus, smoking, and urinary protein as risk factors. The C-statistics of the Suita CVD risk models with ECG data (0.782; 95% CI, 0.766–0.799) and without ECG data (0.781; 95% CI, 0.765–0.797) were significantly higher than that of the FRS model (0.768; 95% CI, 0.750–0.785). Conclusions: The Suita CVD risk model is feasible to use and improves predictability of the incidence of CVD relative to the FRS model in Japan.
- 著者
- Riku Arai Yasuo Okumura Nobuhiro Murata Daisuke Fukamachi Satoshi Honda Kensaku Nishihira Sunao Kojima Misa Takegami Yasuhide Asaumi Jun Yamashita Mike Saji Kiyoshi Hibi Jun Takahashi Yasuhiko Sakata Morimasa Takayama Tetsuya Sumiyoshi Hisao Ogawa Kazuo Kimura Satoshi Yasuda on behalf of the JAMIR Investigators
- 出版者
- The Japanese Circulation Society
- 雑誌
- Circulation Journal (ISSN:13469843)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- pp.CJ-23-0477, (Released:2023-11-23)
- 参考文献数
- 28
Background: This post hoc subanalysis aimed to investigate the impact of polyvascular disease (PolyVD) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in the contemporary era of percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).Methods and Results: The Japan Acute Myocardial Infarction Registry (JAMIR), a multicenter prospective registry, enrolled 3,411 patients with AMI between December 2015 and May 2017. Patients were classified according to complications of a prior stroke and/or peripheral artery disease into an AMI-only group (involvement of 1 vascular bed [1-bed group]; n=2,980), PolyVD with one of the complications (2-bed group; n=383), and PolyVD with both complications (3-bed group; n=48). The primary endpoint was all-cause death. Secondary endpoints were major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, and major bleeding. In the 1-, 2-, and 3-bed groups, the cumulative incidence of all-cause death was 6.8%, 17.5%, and 23.7%, respectively (P<0.001); that of MACE was 7.4%, 16.4%, and 33.8% (P<0.001), respectively; and that of major bleeding was 4.8%, 10.0%, and 13.9% (P<0.001), respectively. PolyVD was independently associated with all-cause death (hazard ratio [HR] 2.21; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.48–3.29), MACE (HR 2.07; 95% CI 1.40–3.07), and major bleeding (HR 1.68; 95% CI 1.04–2.71).Conclusions: PolyVD was significantly associated with worse outcomes, including thrombotic and bleeding events, in the contemporary era of PCI in AMI patients.
- 著者
- Kunihiro Nishimura Tomonori Okamura Makoto Watanabe Michikazu Nakai Misa Takegami Aya Higashiyama Yoshihiro Kokubo Akira Okayama Yoshihiro Miyamoto
- 出版者
- Japan Atherosclerosis Society
- 雑誌
- Journal of Atherosclerosis and Thrombosis (ISSN:13403478)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.21, no.8, pp.784-798, 2014-08-26 (Released:2014-08-26)
- 参考文献数
- 57
- 被引用文献数
- 132 146
Aim: The Framingham risk score (FRS) is one of the standard tools used to predict the incidence of coronary heart disease (CHD). No previous study has investigated its efficacy for a Japanese population cohort. The purpose of this study was to develop new coronary prediction algorithms for the Japanese population in the manner of the FRS, and to compare them with the original FRS. Methods: Our coronary prediction algorithms for Japanese were based on a large population-based cohort study (Suita study). The study population comprised 5,521 healthy Japanese. They were followed-up for 11.8 years on average, and 213 cases of CHD were observed. Multiple Cox proportional hazard model by stepwise selection was used to construct the prediction model. Results: Our coronary prediction algorithms for Japanese patients were based on a large populationbased cohort study (the Suita study). A multiple Cox proportional hazard model by stepwise selection was used to construct the prediction model. The C-statistics showed that the new model had better accuracy than the original and recalibrated Framingham scores. The net reclassification improvement (NRI) by the Suita score with the inclusion of CKD was 41.2% (P<0.001) compared with the original FRS. The recalibration of the FRS slightly improved the efficiency of the prediction, but it was still worse than the Suita score with the CKD model. The calibration analysis suggested that the original FRS and the recalibrated FRS overestimated the risk of CHD in the Japanese population. The Suita score with CKD more accurately predicted the risk of CHD. Conclusion: The FRS and recalibrated FRS overestimated the 10-year risk of CHD for the Japanese population. A predictive score including CKD as a coronary risk factor for the Japanese population was more accurate for predicting CHD than the original Framingham risk scores in terms of the C-statics and NRI.
- 著者
- Makoto Miyake Misa Takegami Yuki Obayashi Masashi Amano Takeshi Kitai Tomoyuki Fujita Tadaaki Koyama Hidekazu Tanaka Kenji Ando Tatsuhiko Komiya Masaki Izumo Hiroya Kawai Kiyoyuki Eishi Kiyoshi Yoshida Takeshi Kimura Ryuzo Nawada Tomohiro Sakamoto Yoshisato Shibata Toshihiro Fukui Kenji Minatoya Kenichi Tsujita Yasushi Sakata Tetsuya Kimura Kumiko Sugio Atsushi Takita Atsushi Iwakura Toshihiro Tamura Kunihiro Nishimura Yutaka Furukawa Chisato Izumi for the BPV-AF Registry Group
- 出版者
- The Japanese Circulation Society
- 雑誌
- Circulation Journal (ISSN:13469843)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- pp.CJ-22-0226, (Released:2022-07-08)
- 参考文献数
- 28
- 被引用文献数
- 2
Background: Current guidelines equally recommend direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) and warfarin for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with a bioprosthetic valve (BPV); however, there are limited data comparing DOACs and warfarin in AF patients with an aortic BPV.Methods and Results: This post-hoc subgroup analysis of a multicenter, prospective, observational registry (BPV-AF Registry) aimed to compare DOACs and warfarin in AF patients with an aortic BPV. The primary outcome was a composite of stroke, systemic embolism, major bleeding, heart failure requiring hospitalization, all-cause death, or BPV reoperation. The analysis included 479 patients (warfarin group, n=258; DOAC group, n=221). Surgical aortic valve replacement was performed in 74.4% and 36.7% of patients in the warfarin and DOAC groups, respectively. During a mean follow up of 15.5 months, the primary outcome occurred in 45 (17.4%) and 32 (14.5%) patients in the warfarin and DOAC groups, respectively. No significant difference was found in the primary outcome between the 2 groups (adjusted hazard ratio: 0.88, 95% confidence interval: 0.51–1.50). No significant multiplicative interaction was observed between the anticoagulant effects and type of aortic valve procedure (P=0.577).Conclusions: Among AF patients with an aortic BPV, no significant difference was observed in the composite outcome of adverse clinical events between patients treated with warfarin and those treated with DOACs, suggesting that DOACs can be used as alternatives to warfarin in these patients.
- 著者
- Hiroaki Yokoyama Hirofumi Tomita Satoshi Honda Kensaku Nishihira Sunao Kojima Misa Takegami Yasuhide Asaumi Jun Yamashita Mike Saji Masami Kosuge Jun Takahashi Yasuhiko Sakata Morimasa Takayama Tetsuya Sumiyoshi Hisao Ogawa Kazuo Kimura Satoshi Yasuda on behalf of the JAMIR Investigators
- 出版者
- The Japanese Circulation Society
- 雑誌
- Circulation Journal (ISSN:13469843)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- pp.CJ-21-0705, (Released:2021-11-20)
- 参考文献数
- 33
- 被引用文献数
- 6
Background:Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients with low body mass index (BMI) exhibit worse clinical outcomes than obese patients; however, to our knowledge, no prospective, nationwide study has assessed the effect of BMI on the clinical outcomes of AMI patients.Methods and Results:In this multi-center, prospective, nationwide Japanese trial, 2,373 AMI patients who underwent emergent percutaneous coronary intervention within 12 h of onset from the Japanese AMI Registry (JAMIR) were identified. Patients were divided into the following 4 groups based on their BMI at admission: Q1 group (BMI <18.5 kg/m2, n=133), Q2 group (18.5≤BMI<25.0 kg/m2, n=1,424), Q3 group (25.0≤BMI<30.0 kg/m2, n=672), and Q4 group (30.0 kg/m2≤BMI, n=144). The primary endpoint was all-cause death, and the secondary endpoint was a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction (MI), and non-fatal stroke. The median follow-up period was 358 days. Q1 patients were older and had lower prevalence of coronary risk factors. Q1 patients also had higher all-cause mortality and higher incidence of secondary endpoints than normal-weight or obese AMI patients. Multivariate analysis showed that low BMI (Q1 group) was an independent predictor for primary endpoint.Conclusions:AMI patients with low BMI had fewer coronary risk factors but worse clinical outcomes than normal-weight or obese patients.
- 著者
- Aya Higashiyama Ichiro Wakabayashi Tomonori Okamura Yoshihiro Kokubo Makoto Watanabe Misa Takegami Kyoko Honda-Kohmo Akira Okayama Yoshihiro Miyamoto
- 出版者
- Japan Atherosclerosis Society
- 雑誌
- Journal of Atherosclerosis and Thrombosis (ISSN:13403478)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- pp.62730, (Released:2021-05-28)
- 参考文献数
- 29
- 被引用文献数
- 18
Aim: A prospective cohort study in a Japanese urban general population was performed to investigate whether triglyceride (TG) and its related indices were associated with the risk for the incidence of ischemic cardiovascular disease (CVD) after the adjustment for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) in Asian community dwellers. Methods: A 15.1-year prospective cohort study was performed in 6,684 Japanese community dwellers aged 30–79 years without a history of CVD and whose fasting TG levels were <400 mg/dL. After adjusting for covariates, including LDL-C, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the deciles (D) of TG and those of 1-standard deviation (SD) increment of log-transformed TG (1-SD of TG) according to LDL-C level (≥ 140 and <140 mg/dL) for ischemic CVD incidence were estimated. The multivariable-adjusted HRs and 95%CIs of the quintiles (Q) of TG, TG/HDL-C, and the cardiometabolic index (CMI) for ischemic CVD were also estimated. Results: In 101,230 person-years, 464 ischemic CVD cases occurred. For D10 of TG, the HR (95%CI) was 1.56 (1.05–2.32), and for 1-SD of TG, it was 1.30 (1.00–1.70) in participants with LDL-C <140 mg/dL and 1.07 (0.77–1.50) in those with LDL-C ≥ 140 mg/dL. For Q5 of the CMI, the multivariable-adjusted HR was higher than those of TG and TG/HDL-C. Conclusions: Fasting TG was an independent predictor for ischemic CVD incidence after adjusting for LDL-C in Japanese community dwellers with TG <400 mg/dL. Among TG, TG/HDL-C, and the CMI, the CMI could be the most powerful predictor for ischemic CVD.
- 著者
- Shunsuke Murata Misa Takegami Daisuke Onozuka Yuriko Nakaoku Akihito Hagihara Kunihiro Nishimura
- 出版者
- Japan Epidemiological Association
- 雑誌
- Journal of Epidemiology (ISSN:09175040)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.31, no.6, pp.361-368, 2021-06-05 (Released:2021-06-05)
- 参考文献数
- 19
- 被引用文献数
- 5
Background: Dementia-related missing and subsequent deaths are becoming serious problems with increases in people with dementia. However, there are no sufficient studies investigating the incidence rate, the mortality rate, and their risk factors.Methods: An ecological study aggregated at the Japanese prefectural level was conducted. Dementia-related missing persons cases and deaths in 2018 were extracted from the statistics of the National Police Agency in Japan. We extracted variables about older adults’ characteristics, care, and safety as candidate variables considered to be relevant to dementia-related missing persons cases and deaths. Associations of the candidate variables with the incidence and mortality rates were analyzed using the generalized linear model (family: quasi-poisson, link: log) adjusted for confounding factors (proportion of older adults and gross prefectural product).Results: The incidence rate and mortality rate per 100,000 person-year was 21.72 and 0.652 in Japan, respectively. One facility increase in the number of nursing care facilities for older adults per 100,000 persons aged 65-years-old or more was associated with a 7.9% (95% confidence interval [CI], 3.3–12.4%) decrease in the incidence rate. One increase in the number of public health nurses per 100,000 persons was associated with a 3.2% (95% CI, 1.6–4.9%) decrease in the incidence rate. A ten percent increase in the proportion of people who live in an urban area was associated with a 20.3% (95% CI, 8.7–33.2%) increase in the incidence rate and a 12.9% (95% CI, 5.6–19.8%) decrease in the mortality rate.Conclusions: Identified associated factors may be useful for managing or predicting dementia-related missing persons cases and associated deaths.
- 著者
- Satoshi Yasuda Satoshi Honda Misa Takegami Kensaku Nishihira Sunao Kojima Yasuhide Asaumi Makoto Suzuki Masami Kosuge Jun Takahashi Yasuhiko Sakata Morimasa Takayama Tetsuya Sumiyoshi Hisao Ogawa Kazuo Kimura on behalf of the JAMIR Investigators
- 出版者
- The Japanese Circulation Society
- 雑誌
- Circulation Journal (ISSN:13469843)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- pp.CJ-19-0145, (Released:2019-06-14)
- 参考文献数
- 32
- 被引用文献数
- 16
Background:Antiplatelet therapy is the corner stone of treatment following acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Prasugrel, a new and potent antiplatelet agent, was recently introduced to clinical practice. We compared the clinical outcomes of patients with AMI treated with prasugrel with those treated with clopidogrel in real-world clinical practice in Japan.Methods and Results:The Japan AMI Registry (JAMIR) is a multicenter, nationwide, prospective registry enrolling patients with AMI from 50 institutes. Between December 2015 and May 2017, a total of 3,411 patients were enrolled. Among them, 3,069 patients were treated with either prasugrel (n=2,607) or clopidogrel (n=462) during hospitalization. Median follow-up period was 12 months. Prasugrel-treated patients were predominantly male, younger, more often showed ST-elevation AMI, and had fewer comorbidities. After adjustment using inverse probability of treatment weighting, the primary endpoint, defined as a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal MI and non-fatal stroke, was comparable between the prasugrel and clopidogrel groups (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.07, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.67–1.72), whereas the risk of major bleeding (BARC type 3 or 5 bleeding) was significantly lower in the prasugrel group (adjusted HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.39–0.99).Conclusions:The present real-world database of the JAMIR demonstrated that the potent P2Y12-inhibitor prasugrel showed comparable rates of 1-year ischemic events to clopidogrel, but the risk of bleeding was lower with prasugrel than with clopidogrel.