著者
築山 宏樹
出版者
日本政治学会
雑誌
年報政治学 (ISSN:05494192)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.66, no.1, pp.1_283-1_305, 2015 (Released:2018-06-10)
参考文献数
53

This study investigates the effect of legislator behaviors on electoral outcome using the panel data of 47 prefectural assembly elections in Japan from 1975 to 2007. In particular, we focus on two legislator strategies to influence public policy under the institution of the Japanese local government: party control of the local governor through electoral support and bill introduction on their own. Theoretically, legislator behaviors would affect electoral fortune, whereas electoral forecast would affect legislator strategies. To address such an endogeneity problem, we adopt the Arellano–Bond estimator for dynamic panel data. The results controlling the endogeneity indicate that parties increase their electoral margins when affiliating with the governor and that the number of bills introduced by parties has no effect on their electoral margins. Furthermore, we discuss that the difference of the effectiveness between the two legislator strategies is caused by the institutional feature of the Japanese local government, where the governor dominates the policy-making process.

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『地方議会選挙の得票分析ー議員行動と選挙とのつながり』築山宏樹 https://t.co/TVVtk8fqkg >知事選挙を通じた知事と(議員)の支持関係の形成が一定の政党の得票押し上げ効果を持つこと、他方、議会での政策条例の提案や成立は、政党の集票戦略にとって顕著な有効性を持たないことが明らかになった

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