著者

張 鈺鑫 李 志東

出版者

一般社団法人 エネルギー・資源学会

雑誌

エネルギー・資源学会論文誌 (ISSN:24330531)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.40, no.3, pp.28-38, 2019 (Released:2019-05-10)

参考文献数

37

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Japan and China are different in many aspects,such as population,resources,administration,growth stage, electricity mix,and carbon emissions.However,both countries are taking effort to transition to low-carbon society. One of those measures is to promote the development of solar power.In this research, we analyzed the current state and mechanism of PV development in both Japan and China by using econometric model. System price, feed-in tariff (FIT), subsidy, transmission grid improvement, etc. were confirmed to be an influence factor of introduction of PV system for both Japan and China. Also, in order to promote the international competitiveness of domestic solar cells, it is indispensable to expand cumulative output. Simulation analysis was also conducted on future targets formulated by the two countries. As a result, in reference case the tendencies continue as they are, it is predicted that Japan will reach a 130% completion of their objective by 2030, while China will have achieved a 142% by 2020. An effective way to further increase this spread could be found in the reduction of feed-in tariff policies ranges and interest rates, as well as in the increase of carbon taxes in Japan or their introduction in China, respectively.

著者

グリナ カミル 李 志東

出版者

一般社団法人 エネルギー・資源学会

雑誌

エネルギー・資源学会論文誌 (ISSN:24330531)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.31, no.5, pp.6-12, 2010 (Released:2019-08-26)

参考文献数

15

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This paper conducted quantitative study on the outlook of economy, energy and environment to 2030 of China Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region by using econometric method. GDP growth will be over 7% annually between 2006 and 2030, and total primary energy consumption will double by 2030. The continuation of rapid economic growth could result in a lot of difficulties for energy development, environment protection, and CO2 emissions reductions. For the sustainable development, more comprehensive strategies should be adopted, including development of renewable energy with highest priority, improvement in energy efficiency and automobile fuel efficiency, etc. However, substantial governmental involvements and support, as well as the establishment of a regulatory framework are necessary.