著者

中村 重久

出版者

京都大学防災研究所

雑誌

京都大学防災研究所年報. B = Disaster Prevention Research Institute Annuals. B (ISSN:0386412X)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.27, no.B-2, pp.591-610, 1984-04-01

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This is a survey report on tsunamis in Tanabe and Shirahama. At first, a numerical modelis studied to know a specific property of a tsunami propagation with some consideration ofnumerical simulation to an observed big tsunami. In order to know any possibility of theforthcoming big tsunami, it is essential to learn the old documents and the tsunami catalogues.An application of stochastic process to the time history of the big tsunami leads to obtain aconvenient measure for tsunami warning and countermeasures, that is, in form of an exceedanceprobability for a given tsunami magnitude in a given time interval after applying a Poissonprocess to the local tsunami history in Tanabe and Shirahaina.