著者

荒木 英一

出版者

桃山学院大学

雑誌

桃山学院大学総合研究所紀要 (ISSN:1346048X)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.37, no.2, pp.41-58, 2012-01-31

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Through the special collaborative research projects (02-R-154, 05-R-181, 08-R-199) funded by Momoyama Gakuin University Research Institute, a considerably wide-ranging business survey was conducted each quarter from 2004 to 2009. A total of 1622 effective answers to our questionnaire were collected. Based on this dataset, in this article we analysed the impact of the Lehman Shock on the south Osaka economy. Using the Ordered Probit model as a method of analysis, we found that structural changes have not occurred after the Lehman Shock, though the Shock did have quite a temporary effect that made business expectations pessimistic to some extent.