- 著者
- Daisuke Komori Shinichirou Nakamura Masashi Kiguchi Asako Nishijima Dai Yamazaki Satoshi Suzuki Akiyuki Kawasaki Kazuo Oki Taikan Oki
- 出版者
- 水文・水資源学会/日本地下水学会/日本水文科学会/陸水物理研究会
- 雑誌
- Hydrological Research Letters (ISSN:18823416)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.6, pp.41-46, 2012 (Released:2012-04-28)
- 参考文献数
- 8
- 被引用文献数
- 52 157
A massive flood, the maximum ever recorded in Thailand, struck the Chao Phraya River in 2011. The total rainfall during the 2011 rainy season was 1,439 mm, which was 143% of the average rainy season rainfall during the period 1982–2002. Although the gigantic Bhumipol and Sirikit dams stored approximately 10 billion m3 by early October, the total flood volume was estimated to be 15 billion m3. This flood caused tremendous damage, including 813 dead nationwide, seven industrial estates, and 804 companies with inundation damage, and total losses estimated at 1.36 trillion baht (approximately 3.5 trillion yen). The Chao Phraya River watershed has experienced many floods in the past, and floods on the same scale as the 2011 flood are expected to occur in the future. Therefore, to prepare of the next flood disaster, it is essential to understand the characteristics of the 2011 Chao Phraya River Flood. This paper proposes countermeasures for preventing major flood damage in the future.
- 著者
- Adisorn Champathong Daisuke Komori Masashi Kiguchi Thada Sukhapunnaphan Taikan Oki Tosiyuki Nakaegawa
- 出版者
- Japan Society of Hydrology and Water Resources (JSHWR) / Japanese Association of Groundwater Hydrology (JAGH) / Japanese Association of Hydrological Sciences (JAHS) / Japanese Society of Physical Hydrology (JSPH)
- 雑誌
- Hydrological Research Letters (ISSN:18823416)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.7, no.2, pp.36-41, 2013 (Released:2013-06-08)
- 参考文献数
- 25
- 被引用文献数
- 20 23
We projected future river discharge in the Chao Phraya River basin and evaluated the uncertainty in future climate projections by using different resolutions and ensemble experiments of the Atmospheric General Circulation Model of the Meteorological Research Institute (MRI-AGCM). We also obtained estimates of precipitation, evaporation, runoff, and river discharge under climate conditions projected for the late 21st century. The results show that precipitation is projected to significantly increase in the future during April to August, excluding May. The projected river discharge at Nakhon Sawan located in the central region shows a peak in September, a delay of one month after the maximum monthly mean precipitation. The estimated reduction in river discharge for January and February was robust based on all members of the 60-km mesh MRI-AGCM ensembles changing in the same direction as that of the 20-km mesh MRI-AGCM. The uncertainty assessment conducted in this study could lead to increased robustness in projected changes in mean river discharge in the late 21st century for this basin.