- 著者
- Daisuke Komori Shinichirou Nakamura Masashi Kiguchi Asako Nishijima Dai Yamazaki Satoshi Suzuki Akiyuki Kawasaki Kazuo Oki Taikan Oki
- 出版者
- 水文・水資源学会/日本地下水学会/日本水文科学会/陸水物理研究会
- 雑誌
- Hydrological Research Letters (ISSN:18823416)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.6, pp.41-46, 2012 (Released:2012-04-28)
- 参考文献数
- 8
- 被引用文献数
- 52 159
A massive flood, the maximum ever recorded in Thailand, struck the Chao Phraya River in 2011. The total rainfall during the 2011 rainy season was 1,439 mm, which was 143% of the average rainy season rainfall during the period 1982–2002. Although the gigantic Bhumipol and Sirikit dams stored approximately 10 billion m3 by early October, the total flood volume was estimated to be 15 billion m3. This flood caused tremendous damage, including 813 dead nationwide, seven industrial estates, and 804 companies with inundation damage, and total losses estimated at 1.36 trillion baht (approximately 3.5 trillion yen). The Chao Phraya River watershed has experienced many floods in the past, and floods on the same scale as the 2011 flood are expected to occur in the future. Therefore, to prepare of the next flood disaster, it is essential to understand the characteristics of the 2011 Chao Phraya River Flood. This paper proposes countermeasures for preventing major flood damage in the future.
- 著者
- Yukiko Hirabayashi Shinjiro Kanae
- 出版者
- 水文・水資源学会/日本地下水学会/日本水文科学会/陸水物理研究会
- 雑誌
- Hydrological Research Letters (ISSN:18823416)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.3, pp.6-9, 2009 (Released:2009-01-29)
- 参考文献数
- 7
- 被引用文献数
- 23 58
Flooding is one of the major risks anticipated to increase in association with anthropogenically induced climate change which is likely to intensify the global water cycle. Currently, 20 to 300 million people per year are affected by floods that threaten both social security and sustainable development. This study presents the first estimate of future populations at risk of flooding. Results indicate that in the case of 3°C warming from the average of 1980-1999, approximately 300 million people could be at risk even in years of relatively low flooding; this number corresponds to the number of people affected in a devastating flood year at present. If the temperature increase is greater than 3°C, the flood-affected population would likely be even larger. We suggest that approximately 2°C warming, rather than 3°C warming, should be considered the critical level of temperature increase.
- 著者
- Reinhardt E. Pinzón Kenshi Hibino Izuru Takayabu Tosiyuki Nakaegawa
- 出版者
- 水文・水資源学会/日本地下水学会/日本水文科学会/陸水物理研究会
- 雑誌
- Hydrological Research Letters (ISSN:18823416)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.11, no.2, pp.106-113, 2017 (Released:2017-05-16)
- 参考文献数
- 28
- 被引用文献数
- 4 6
Twenty-four simulations were carried using the Meteorological Research Institute-Atmospheric General Circulation Model (MRI-AGCM) to predict the late 21st century climate under scenario A1B of the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios. Future climate analogues were identified for Central American capital cities using a recently developed nonparametric method. We used MRI-AGCM3.2H with a horizontal resolution of approximately 60 km, three convection schemes, four sea surface temperature distributions, and two initial conditions. Thus, the total ensemble size was 24, with a simulation period of 25 years. Most of the future analogues are at lower latitudes than their target cities, or near biological diversity and endemism hotspots like coral reefs and mangrove forests. Projected seasonal variations in surface air temperature and rainfall in Panama City were similar to the present-day climate of Soc Trang, located at the mouth of the Mekong River in Vietnam. The nonparametric method introduced in this study for identifying climate analogues can be utilized for impact assessments under a changing climate.
- 著者
- Kenji Tsuruta Hiroyuki Yamamoto Masanori Katsuyama Yoshiko Kosugi Motonori Okumura Naoko Matsuo
- 出版者
- 水文・水資源学会/日本地下水学会/日本水文科学会/陸水物理研究会
- 雑誌
- Hydrological Research Letters (ISSN:18823416)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.13, no.1, pp.1-6, 2019 (Released:2019-02-02)
- 参考文献数
- 32
- 被引用文献数
- 14
Cryogenic vacuum distillation (CVD) methods have been widely used to extract water from unsaturated soil materials. However, recent studies have reported that extraction conditions (e.g. extraction time) and soil type can influence the stable isotope ratios of soil water extracted by CVD. We examined (i) the effects of extraction time on the stable isotope ratios of soil water extracted by CVD, and (ii) how the stable isotope ratios differed from those of soil water extracted by other methods. We first examined extraction times of 1–6 h, and observed no significant differences in the δ2H or δ18O values of extracted soil water for extraction times >2 h. However, extraction for 1 h collected only 48% of soil water, and the δ2H and δ18O values were significantly lower than those for extraction times >2 h. We then compared the stable isotope ratios of soil water extracted by CVD and centrifugation. Although the stable isotope ratios for both extraction methods were within the range of that of rainwater, the stable isotope ratios for water extracted by CVD were lower than those for water extracted by centrifugation. Our results highlight questions surrounding the use of CVD for stable isotope analysis of soil water.
- 著者
- Takashi Maruyama Eriko Tomokiyo Junji Maeda
- 出版者
- 水文・水資源学会/日本地下水学会/日本水文科学会/陸水物理研究会
- 雑誌
- Hydrological Research Letters (ISSN:18823416)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.4, pp.40-44, 2010 (Released:2010-04-09)
- 参考文献数
- 4
- 被引用文献数
- 1 4
The strong wind field caused by Typhoon Songda, which passed through Kyushu in Japan in 2004, was simulated numerically. A non-hydrostatic mesoscale model was used for the numerical simulation. The simulated wind field was compared with the observed wind field in terms of wind speeds and directions, which were measured by the wind observation network, NeWMeK. It was found that the temporal variation of the calculated wind speeds at 1 km hori-zontal mesh grids correspond to the average of the observed wind speeds over a ten to fifteen minute time period. The temporal variation of the calculated wind directions showed good agreement with the observations. The maximum values of the calculated wind speeds were highly correlated to the maximum values of the observed wind speeds. The applicability of the mesoscale model for the wind hazard assessment of buildings was examined, and it was found that the maximum values of the calculated wind speeds at higher altitudes showed higher correlations with the rates of damaged houses caused by Typhoon Songda.
- 著者
- Yukiko Hirabayashi Yong Zang Satoshi Watanabe Sujan Koirala Shinjiro Kanae
- 出版者
- 水文・水資源学会/日本地下水学会/日本水文科学会/陸水物理研究会
- 雑誌
- Hydrological Research Letters (ISSN:18823416)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.7, no.1, pp.6-11, 2013 (Released:2013-03-09)
- 参考文献数
- 23
- 被引用文献数
- 10 38
We report a time series (1948–2100) of global-scale meltwater from mountain glaciers and ice caps (MGI) estimated by the global glacier model HYOGA2. HYOGA2 calculates the temporal fluctuation of the mass balance for 24,234 individual glaciers worldwide. It covers 90% of the total glacier area, except for glaciers in Greenland and Antarctica. HYOGA2 also accounts for regionally distributed changes in glacier area and altitude associated with glacier retreat and advance. By computation of individual glacier changes, future dissipation and glacier mass and area changes can be simulated in the model. The cumulative volume loss of water between 1948 and 2005 was estimated to be 25.9 ± 1.4 mm sea level equivalent (SLE). A future projection under a high-emission scenario demonstrated significant losses of water from MGI equivalent to 60.3 ± 7.9 mm SLE between 1948 and 2060 and 99.0 ± 14.9 mm SLE between 1948 and 2099.