著者
Marshall GRAMM Ryne MARKSTEINER
出版者
Japanese Society of Equine Science
雑誌
Journal of Equine Science (ISSN:13403516)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.21, no.4, pp.73-78, 2010 (Released:2011-01-29)
参考文献数
15
被引用文献数
14 22

Using a dataset of 274 male Thoroughbred racehorses in the United States, we study the effect of age on racing performance. Beyer speed figures, which are uniform measures of racing performance across distance and racing surface, are utilized in this study. A system of equations is estimated to determine quadratic improvement and decline in racing performance. We find that a typical horse's peak racing age is 4.45 years. The rate of improvement from age 2 to 4 1/2 is greater than the rate of decline after age 4 1/2. A typical horse will improve by 10 (horse) lengths in sprints (less than 1 mile) and 15 lengths in routes (one mile or greater) from age 2 to 4 1/2. Over the next five years the typical decline is 6 lengths for sprints and 9 1/2 lengths for routes.