著者

新開 明二 山口 悟 加賀田 拓郎 久保 憲一 口木 裕介 慎 勝進

出版者

公益社団法人日本船舶海洋工学会

雑誌

西部造船会会報 (ISSN:0389911X)

巻号頁・発行日

no.109, pp.93-100, 2005-03-20

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The phenomenon in connection with the economical efficiency and the safety which happen during a voyage strongly depends on the situation of the ship operation process. Although the ship operation process is complicated and it is a random phenomenon, it can be regarded as a stochastic model. Therefore, this paper discusses the stochastic-modeling of the ship operation process. A series of numerical simulation experiment have been executed using the data obtained from voyage record of four tankers. In analyzing the numerical simulation result, the possibility of constructing a forecasting scheme of the ship operation process on the basis of the stochastic-modeling is suggested.