著者

森本 滋郎 堀尾 誠 田淵 敏明

出版者

徳島文理大学

雑誌

徳島文理大学研究紀要 (ISSN:02869829)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.90, pp.59-65, 2015-09

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It is said that if the competition rate to get into university decreases by two times it will be difficult to secure the present competiveness. Therefore it is essential to create as soon as possible a competitive environment as well as review the admission quota. As well, in order to reduce the rate of students dropping out of school, we must offer a better education. The fluctuation of the number of applicants and the number of incoming students is a severe problem in regards to management, educational research, and grant donors. However, even if various measures to create a better education are implemented, it not easy to avoid the problem of failing to achieve the admission quota. One proposal to solve this difficult issue is making clear the structural phenomenon of the decrease of the number of applicants and the number of incoming students. By doing so it might be possible to see what needs to be done. For this study we could understand the condition of the fluctuating number of applicants and incoming students by using a model, namely, the model of Kermack-McKendrick that maps the spread of infectious diseases, and we considered the implementation of a plan for increasing the number of incoming students. In our conclusion we describe two main results in order to increase the number of incoming students to match the admission quota.