著者

石西 正幸 市川 学 田沼 英樹 出口 弘 金谷 泰宏

出版者

一般社団法人 システム制御情報学会

雑誌

システム制御情報学会論文誌 (ISSN:13425668)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.27, no.7, pp.319-325, 2014-07-15 (Released:2014-10-15)

参考文献数

13

被引用文献数

1

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This paper aims to propose a risk assessment method on countermeasure against infectious disease with high fatality rate using social simulation. We constructed a novel model which are able to visualize social vulnerability against outbreak of infectious disease such as smallpox. In this model, disease state transition of smallpox, infection process, social structure, human activity, social countermeasure, simulation condition that include parameters, and simulation results are described. We evaluate the social protection policies by an agent-based model using Spot Oriented Agent Role Simulator (SOARS). This model is able to visualize the risk of social vulnerability against smallpox and social vulnerability is different among generations.