著者

Yoshihito SETO Hitoshi YOKOYAMA Tsuyoshi NAKATANI Haruo ANDO Nobumitsu TSUNEMATSU Yoshinori SHOJI Kenichi KUSUNOKI Masaya NAKAYAMA Yuto SAITOH Hideo TAKAHASHI

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.96A, pp.35-49, 2018 (Released:2018-02-19)

参考文献数

16

被引用文献数

4

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The relationships between the occurrence of intense rainfall and the convergence of surface winds and water vapor concentration for typical heavy-rainfall cases were examined using data from July to August in 2011-2013, obtained from high-density meteorological observations in Tokyo, Japan. Additionally, the temporal variations in wind convergence and water vapor between days with and without heavy rainfall events were compared. Corresponding to heavy-rainfall areas, the convergence of surface winds tended to increase for several tens of minutes prior to the heavy rainfall. The peak of convergence was observed 10-30 min before the heavy-rainfall occurrence, and convergence continued to increase for approximately 30 min until the convergence peak time. Around the heavy-rainfall area, the increase in the water vapor concentration index coincided with the increase in convergence. From these results, by monitoring the temporal variations and distributions of these parameters using a high-density observation network, it should be possible to predict the occurrence of heavy rainfall rapidly and accurately.