著者
Takeshi Yamauchi Yasuhiko Sakata Masanobu Miura Takeo Onose Kanako Tsuji Ruri Abe Takuya Oikawa Shintaro Kasahara Masayuki Sato Kotaro Nochioka Takashi Shiroto Jun Takahashi Satoshi Miyata Hiroaki Shimokawa on behalf of the CHART-2 Investigators
出版者
日本循環器学会
雑誌
Circulation Journal (ISSN:13469843)
巻号頁・発行日
pp.CJ-16-0759, (Released:2017-01-14)
参考文献数
52
被引用文献数
19

Background:The prognostic impact of atrial fibrillation (AF) among patients at high risk for heart failure (HF) remains unclear. In addition, there is no risk estimation model for AF development in these patients.Methods and Results:The present study included 5,382 consecutive patients at high risk of HF enrolled in the CHART-2 Study (n=10,219). At enrollment, 1,217 (22.6%) had AF, and were characterized, as compared with non-AF patients, by higher age, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, higher B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level and lower left ventricular ejection fraction. A total of 116 non-AF patients (2.8%) newly developed AF (new AF) during the median 3.1-year follow-up. AF at enrollment was associated with worse prognosis for both all-cause death and HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.31, P=0.027 and aHR 1.74, P=0.001, for all-cause death and HF hospitalization, respectively) and new AF was associated with HF hospitalization (aHR 4.54, P<0.001). We developed a risk score with higher age, smoking, pulse pressure, lower eGFR, higher BNP, aortic valvular regurgitation, LV hypertrophy, and left atrial and ventricular dilatation on echocardiography, which effectively stratified the risk of AF development with excellent accuracy (AUC 0.76).Conclusions:These results indicated that AF is associated with worse prognosis in patients at high risk of HF, and our new risk score may be useful to identify patients at high risk for AF onset.

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【心不全高リスク日本人5382例,3.1年 [中央値] 追跡,CHART-2:登録時AF合併列では,心不全入院,心血管系死亡,総死亡とも,日合併例に比べ多】 Circ J https://t.co/XF1WOnFIuJ https://t.co/1W2sdE4SBc

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