著者
小暮 厚之
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.10, no.2, pp.91-112, 1995-09-27

For the estimation of stochastic differential equiations from discretely sampled data, the traditional approach in the econometric literature is to use a discretization of the original continuous-time model. In this paper we discuss some problems on the traditional approach and introduce an alternative estimation method, which is free from the discretization.
著者
山科 高康
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.12, no.4, pp.511-538, 1998-03-04

Das weithin bekannte Wiegenlied "Schlafe, schlafe, holder, suBer Knabe" stammt von dem 19-jahrigen Schubert. In diesem Lied, dessen Verfasser noch unbekannt ist, steht in der zweiten Strophe das Wort "Grab". Solch ein unheimliches Wort paBt eigentlich nic
著者
市川 薫
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.11, no.4, pp.431-467, 1997-03-05

In this paper, I briefly introduce the 'Method for Building an Optimally Lagged Model' that was developed by Ichikawa, and then use it for a dynamically verified analysis about three regionally unique products-Saitama prefectural cocoons, Shizuoka prefect
著者
清水 馨
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.18, no.2, pp.439-471, 2003-09-24
著者
速水 融
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.13, no.3, pp.353-387, 1998-12-02

The urban mortality rate was generally higher than the rural rate in pre-modern society. This resulted from the population influx from rural to urban areas, giving the empirical evidence to the "urban graveyard theory."Since Tokugaya period saw a heavy i佐々木陽一郎先生退官記念号Collected Papers on the Occasion of the Retirement of Professor Yoichiro Sasaki
著者
野沢 敏治
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.20, no.1, pp.1-44, 2005-06-29

Otsuka developed a theory of history in the term of productive power and religious ethos of industrial middle class, between the first and second World War. In the paper I aim to re-examine his theory from the point of our experience of high economic growth in Japan and the economic development of the third world after the War. Before that we shall re-estimate his method. He studied, not known well until now, the history of modern capitalism in West Europe to understand the rise of contemporary Japanese fascism. In addition to that, he employed the comparative history approach between West Europe and Japan. The results were, for example, that he got new ideas of economic structure and management, historical materialism put side by side. I will hall reconstitute his theory of natural course of economic development. He saw the history of mankind largely from communites to a commercial or civil society. In doing so, he watched that class societies were based on their respective communities or civil society. At the end we can make a table of Otsuka's theory of history.
著者
天野 昌功
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.20, no.3, pp.511-528, 2005-12-14

This paper examines the causal directions between financial development and economic growth for prewar and postwar Japan, U.S.A., and U.K. The method used here is the one recently developed by S. Hall, M. Pesaran, and R. Wickens et al. and is what can be called a generalized (or extended) Granger causality test. The paper shows that in Japan and the U.K., the Patrick's hypothesis holds, where the hypothesis implies that in the early stage of development, financial factors typically lead and cause real-side development, while in the later stage, the reversal of causal directions occurs. In the U.S., however, the opposite causal patterns (i.e., in the prewar period, the realside causes the financial-side) are observed. The paper also compares the above results with those derived from traditional Granger causality tests.
著者
佐々木 陽一郎
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.13, no.3, pp.333-352, 1998-12-02

Economic historians must always pay much attention to the first-hand materials or primary sources. These are basically documents of the contemporary people : diaries, account books of merchants, and notes of rent collections by landlords. As an economic demographer of Tokugawa period, I have been heavily involved in reading the Shumon-ninbetsu-cho, or the ledgers of religious denominations of villagers of each village. These ledgers had been compiled by lower bureaucracies annually and kept well. By comparing the data of a certain year's document with another year's, you can surmise and finally determine the local transformations of population. According to my investigation of Takayama district of Hida prefecture, I concluded that the poor people there did not belong to those who had more children than richer ones.佐々木陽一郎先生退官記念号Collected Papers on the Occasion of the Retirement of Professor Yoichiro Sasaki
著者
阿部 清司
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.23, no.3, pp.399-418, 2008-12

Argentina suffered from severe economic crisis in 2001, which was triggered by the dollar peg, excessive issues of national bonds and the IMF policy package. More fundamentally, the crisis was caused by the bad governance, the widespread corruption, the lack of industrialization, the lack of modern market mechanism, the lack of democracy, the lack of response to the globalization, etc. Argentina has attained independence since 1816, but there still exist political rivalry between local and central governments. The disunity has inhibited any modern social reform, with the old social system still dominating the country. Argentina now lives on the century-old heritages with any social modernization neglected from generation to generation. The lacks that caused the crisis were also pointed out by the socalled Okita Report which was produced by the joint Argentina-Japanese research team headed by Dr. Saburo Okita. The Okita Report 1 of 1986 makes an in-depth analysis of macro economy, agriculture, industry, transportation and foreign trade of Argentina with valuable policy recommendations. The Okita Report 2 of 1996 focused on foreign trade, especially trade with Asian countries, and foreign direct investment from Asia, pointing out strongly the lack of willingness to export, develop and modernize. The Okita Reports mean a culmination of good relations between Argentina and Japan. A revaluation of the Okita Report was done at a conference in Buenos Aires in 2006, twenty years after the Okita Report 1. Many participants admitted that the value of the Okita Report for Argentina Economy remains intact. Its practical proposal the essence of which contains the need of industrialization will retain its precious value for the future for Argentina. It will be referred to by farsighted policy makers of Argentina in coping with the tide of globalization. Otherwise, Argentina would remain underdeveloped while other Latin American countries make further progress.
著者
安孫子 誠男
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.8, no.4, pp.109-144, 1994-03-02

The macro modelling of a'fordian' growth regime proposed by R. Boyer has combined two lines of empirical and theoretical studies : on one hand the 'regulation' approach which focuses on the succession of different accumulation regimes, on the other hand the statistical researches which try to explain the slow-down of productivity and employment in Europe since the Seventies. The article aims at clarifying critically, along Boyer's path to macro formalizing, how the 'regulation' approach deales with technological change, wage labour nexus ('rapport salarial'), and investment determinants in the medium and long run. In this first part, it is argued that Boyer has investigated, based upon the evidence of various historical stylized facts, the originalities of wage formation and price trend after the World War II.
著者
工藤 秀明
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.11, no.3, pp.329-373, 1996-12-04

The third part of 'Okonomisch-philosophische Manuscripte' includes one meaningfull and mysterious paragraph, in which the most important idea of young Marx seems to be represented. It is as follows. 'Wir sehn hier, wie der durchgefuhlte Naturalismus oder Humanismus sich sowohl von dem Idealismus, als der Materialismus unterscheidet und zugleich ihre beide vereinigende Wahrheit ist. Wir sehn zugleich, wie nur der Naturalismis fahig ist, den Akt der Weltgeschichte zu begreiten'. We try to decode the paragraph through elucidating the total context of 'Kritik der Hegelschen Dialetik und Philosophie uberhaupt'.
著者
工藤 秀明
出版者
千葉大学
雑誌
千葉大学経済研究 (ISSN:09127216)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.11, no.4, pp.507-533, 1997-03-05

In the last paper, we tried to decode one meaningfull and mysterious paragraph in the third part of OKONOMISCH-PHILOSOPHISCHE MANUSCRIPTE through elucidating the total context of 'Kritik der Hegelschen Dialektik und philosophie uberhaupt'. In this paper, we try to make clear the whole context of the third part mentioned above, focusing on the key sentence saying that 'die Gesellschaft ist die vollendete Wesenseinheit des Menschen mit der Natur, die wahre Resurrektion der Natur, der durchgefuhrte Naturalismus des Menschen und der durchgefuhrte Humanismus der Natur'. Though this work, we will be able to understand the importance of 'Nature' in the first 'Kritik der politischen Okonomie'.