36 0 0 0 OA 投票参加の低下

三船 毅
年報政治学 (ISSN:05494192)
vol.56, no.1, pp.135-160,351, 2005-11-10 (Released:2010-04-30)

This paper uses individual-level data to examine the cause of the sudden decline in turnout in House of Representatives elections in the 1990s.The turnout rate remained flat from 1972 to 1990, but between 1990 and 1996 fell rapidly. In fact, individual-level data show that the electorate's political awareness changed markedly.The analysis utilized in this inquiry first offers a comprehensive explanation for the sudden change in turnout. It then establishes determinants of both voting and abstention through probit analysis, and finally illustrates the cause of the fall in turnout through simulations.The results show that the decline in turnout from 1990 to 1996 was due not to a decrease in mobilization, but rather to a decline in partisanship and low political interest of the electorate. In addition, alteration of the electoral rules had little significant effects.


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https://t.co/JRjP7PLUaq 流し読みだけどこれ読んでたら納得した。 自民党一党体制が崩れた頃なのね
平成初期のそのタイミングで急速に政治や選挙への関心が極端に失われたという事なのか。この分析では選挙制度変更はさほど影響していないとしているけど。 https://t.co/1OnfcdWSMS
投票参加の低下 - J-Stage https://t.co/So3M6EBe7J 中選挙区制か ら小選挙区比例代表並立制への選挙制度変更 と…

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