著者
竹澤 正哲
出版者
心理学評論刊行会
雑誌
心理学評論 (ISSN:03861058)
巻号頁・発行日
vol.61, no.1, pp.42-54, 2018 (Released:2019-07-11)
参考文献数
35
被引用文献数
4

In the last decade, psychology faced a serious crisis, called the reproducibility problem. To solve the problem, several methodological and institutional changes have been proposed and implemented such as the promotion of replication studies and publication of negative results, the introduction of a preregistration system in academic journals, and the implementation of novel statistical methods for suppressing false-positive results. In this paper, based on a previously proposed formal model of population dynamics of scientific discovery, I first explain that these changes are insufficient for avoiding the reproducibility problem. Based on two examples in social psychology, I also discuss that what is necessary for fundamental reformulation of psychology is rigorous modeling, which has already been widely applied in many scientific fields outside psychology.

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心理学におけるモデリングの必要性 https://t.co/XeRlcVTgBj
@sakura_osamu @asarin @keihirai 以下の論文の付録でその問題を議論しています。Gigerenzer流に言うならば、進化の産物であるヒューリスティックするが適切な環境下で使用されるならば、意識的に積分や確率計算ができなくても、生物はベイズ的に判断を下せますね。 https://t.co/VN9vNEmNo6

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