- 著者
- Kosuke Ito Hiroyuki Yamada Munehiko Yamaguchi Tetsuo Nakazawa Norio Nagahama Kensaku Shimizu Tadayasu Ohigashi Taro Shinoda Kazuhisa Tsuboki
- 出版者
- Meteorological Society of Japan
- 雑誌
- SOLA (ISSN:13496476)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.14, pp.105-110, 2018 (Released:2018-07-28)
- 参考文献数
- 30
- 被引用文献数
- 1 23
The inner core of Tropical Cyclone Lan was observed on 21-22 October 2017 by GPS dropsondes during the first aircraft missions of the Tropical Cyclones-Pacific Asian Research Campaign for the Improvement of Intensity Estimations/Forecasts (T-PARCII). To evaluate the impact of dropsondes on forecast skill, 12 36-h forecasts were conducted using a Japan Meteorological Agency non-hydrostatic model (JMA-NHM) with a JMA-NHM-based mesoscale four-dimensional data assimilation (DA) system. Track forecast skill improved over all forecast times with the assimilation of the dropsonde data. The improvement rate was 8-16% for 27-36-h forecasts. Minimum sea level pressure (Pmin) forecasts were generally degenerated (improved) for relatively short-term (long-term) forecasts by adding the dropsonde data, and maximum wind speed (Vmax) forecasts were degenerated. Some of the changes in the track and Vmax forecasts were statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. It is notable that the dropsonde-derived estimate of Pmin was closer to the real-time analysis by the Regional Specialized Meteorological Center (RSMC) Tokyo than the RSMC Tokyo best track analysis. The degeneration in intensity forecast skill due to uncertainties in the best track data is discussed.
- 著者
- Eigo Tochimoto Satoshi Iizuka Tadayasu Ohigashi
- 出版者
- Meteorological Society of Japan
- 雑誌
- SOLA (ISSN:13496476)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.18A, no.Special_Edition, pp.1-7, 2022 (Released:2022-02-11)
- 参考文献数
- 24
- 被引用文献数
- 5
The influence of an upper-level trough on a Baiu frontal depression (BFD) that caused a heavy rainfall event in southern Kyushu, Japan, on July 4, 2020, was examined using numerical simulations with and without the upper-level trough. The numerical simulation with the upper-level trough (CNTL) reproduced a reasonable well-developed BFD and heavy rainfall in southern Kyushu. Conversely, the numerical simulation without the upper-level trough (NOUT) produced a weaker BFD and notable southward rainfall shift compared with the situation in the CNTL. The weaker BFD for the NOUT was due to weaker convection than that of the CNTL over mainland China. Thus, strong convection over mainland China was essential for the formation and development of the BFD that caused heavy rainfall in southern Kyushu. Additional sensitivity experiments, in which the strength of the upper-level potential vorticity anomalies was reduced to 75, 50, and 25% of the CNTL, showed that the spatial rainfall distribution shifted southward and resulted in a change in precipitation amounts in southern Kyushu because of the weakening of the BFD.
- 著者
- Eigo Tochimoto Satoshi Iizuka Tadayasu Ohigashi
- 出版者
- Meteorological Society of Japan
- 雑誌
- SOLA (ISSN:13496476)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- pp.18A-001, (Released:2022-01-25)
- 被引用文献数
- 5
The influence of an upper-level trough on a Baiu frontal depression (BFD) that caused a heavy rainfall event in southern Kyushu, Japan, on July 4, 2020, was examined using numerical simulations with and without the upper-level trough. The numerical simulation with the upper-level trough (CNTL) reproduced a reasonable well-developed BFD and heavy rainfall in southern Kyushu. Conversely, the numerical simulation without the upper-level trough (NOUT) produced a weaker BFD and notable southward rainfall shift compared with the situation in the CNTL. The weaker BFD for the NOUT was due to weaker convection than that of the CNTL over mainland China. Thus, strong convection over mainland China was essential for the formation and development of the BFD that caused heavy rainfall in southern Kyushu. Additional sensitivity experiments, in which the strength of the upper-level potential vorticity anomalies was reduced to 75, 50, and 25% of the CNTL, showed that the spatial rainfall distribution shifted southward and resulted in a change in precipitation amounts in southern Kyushu because of the weakening of the BFD.
- 著者
- Kenji Suzuki Rimpei Kamamoto Katsuhiro Nakagawa Michinobu Nonaka Taro Shinoda Tadayasu Ohigashi Yukiya Minami Mamoru Kubo Yuki Kaneko
- 出版者
- Meteorological Society of Japan
- 雑誌
- SOLA (ISSN:13496476)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.15, pp.94-98, 2019 (Released:2019-05-14)
- 参考文献数
- 21
- 被引用文献数
- 5
A field observation was carried out along the coast of the Japan Sea in the 2016-2017 and 2017-2018 winter seasons, using the Ground-based Particle Image and Mass Measurement System (G-PIMMS) to evaluate the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM) dual-frequency precipitation radar (DPR) precipitation type classification algorithm. The G-PIMMS was installed at Kanazawa University and Ishikawa Prefectural University, which are around 10 km apart from each other. The G-PIMMS observations showed that the major precipitation particle type (graupel or snowflake) was different in the precipitation types classified by the GPM DPR algorithm.
- 著者
- Kenji Suzuki Rimpei Kamamoto Katsuhiro Nakagawa Michinobu Nonaka Taro Shinoda Tadayasu Ohigashi Yukiya Minami Mamoru Kubo Yuki Kaneko
- 出版者
- Meteorological Society of Japan
- 雑誌
- SOLA (ISSN:13496476)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- pp.2019-018, (Released:2019-04-10)
- 被引用文献数
- 5
A field observation was carried out along the coast of the Japan Sea in the 2016-2017 and 2017-2018 winter seasons, using the Ground-based Precipitation particle Image and Mass Measurement System (G-PIMMS) to evaluate the Global Precipitation Measurement Mission (GPM) dual-frequency precipitation radar (DPR) precipitation type classification algorithm. The G-PIMMS was installed at Kanazawa University and Ishikawa Prefectural University, which are around 10 km apart from each other. The G-PIMMS observations showed that the major precipitation particle type (graupel or snowflake) was different in the precipitation types classified by the GPM DPR algorithm.