- 著者
-
Yasuki Nakada
Rika Kawakami
Shouji Matsushima
Tomomi Ide
Koshiro Kanaoka
Tomoya Ueda
Satomi Ishihara
Taku Nishida
Kenji Onoue
Tsunenari Soeda
Satoshi Okayama
Makoto Watanabe
Hiroyuki Okura
Miyuki Tsuchihashi-Makaya
Hiroyuki Tsutsui
Yoshihiko Saito
- 出版者
- The Japanese Circulation Society
- 雑誌
- Circulation Journal (ISSN:13469843)
- 巻号頁・発行日
- vol.83, no.5, pp.1019-1024, 2019-04-25 (Released:2019-04-25)
- 参考文献数
- 22
- 被引用文献数
-
8
13
Background: Prognosis after acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) is poor. An appropriate risk score that would allow for improved care and treatment of ADHF patients after discharge, however, is lacking. Methods and Results: We used 2 HF cohorts, the NARA-HF study and JCARE-CARD, as derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The primary endpoint was all-cause death during the 2-year follow-up, excluding in-hospital death. Age, hemoglobin (Hb), and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) at discharge were identified as independent risk factors. We determined 3 categorizations on the basis of these parameters, termed A2B score: age (<65 years, 0; 65–74 years, 1; ≥75 years, 2), anemia (Hb <10 g/dL, 2; 10–11.9 g/dL, 1; ≥12 g/dL, 0) and BNP (<200 pg/mL, 0; 200–499 pg/mL, 1; ≥500 pg/mL, 2). We divided patients into 4 groups according to A2B score (extremely low, 0; low, 1–2; medium, 3–4; high, 5–6). For the extremely low-risk group, the 2-year survival rate was 97.8%, compared with 84.5%, 66.1%, and 45.2% for the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups, respectively. Using the JCARE-CARD as a validation model, for the extremely low-risk group, the 2-year survival was 95.4%, compared with 90.2%, 75.0%, and 55.6% for the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups, respectively. Conclusions: The user-friendly A2B score is useful for estimating survival rate in ADHF patients at discharge.