著者
Yukiko Imada Masahiro Watanabe Hiroaki Kawase Hideo Shiogama Miki Arai
出版者
Meteorological Society of Japan
雑誌
SOLA (ISSN:13496476)
巻号頁・発行日
pp.15A-002, (Released:2019-05-22)
被引用文献数
1

The high temperature event in July 2018 caused record-breaking human damage throughout Japan. Large-ensemble historical simulations with a high-resolution atmospheric general circulation model showed that the occurrence rate of this event under the condition of external forcings in July 2018 was approximately 20%. This high probability was a result of the high-pressure systems both in the upper and lower troposphere in July 2018. The event attribution approach based on the large-ensemble simulations with and without human-induced climate change indicated the following: (1) The event would never have happened without anthropogenic global warming. (2) The strength of the two-tiered high-pressure systems was also at an extreme level and at least doubled the level of event probability, which was independent of global warming. Moreover, a set of the large-ensemble dynamically downscaled outputs revealed that the mean annual occurrence of extremely hot days in Japan will be expected to increase by 1.8 times under a global warming level of 2°C above pre-industrial levels.

言及状況

外部データベース (DOI)

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We showed that the July 2018 high temperature event in Japan would not have happened without man-made… https://t.co/BBkaPdJogn
@shagpilepepe @MRobertsQLD @JulianBurnside Which Japanese scientists you have one lot that researched Asian winter… https://t.co/j7UWbHvWVw
@shagpilepepe @MRobertsQLD @JulianBurnside So a suggestion from 2 reports is good enough to conclude that man made… https://t.co/tYbTpkOjc7
@JosephS36875398 @ScienceNotDogma @DrKateMarvel At your service! https://t.co/U6KVLwUrpu
The Japan Meteorological Agency declared that study shows the country’s extremely hot temperatures in July 2018 wer… https://t.co/2yBVJ81pxq
2018 heatwave in Japan couldn't have happened without human-induced global warming https://t.co/sOGG9FjDOg https://t.co/25pDza01dd
@matthew25496877 @MarkBoslough Meteirological Society of Japan has a highly reputable journal. Your mouse and ind… https://t.co/9hymDsn3YS
Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere(SOLA)に気候変動現象研究部門 気候変動研究分野 渡部雅浩教授らによる「平成30年7月の記録的な猛暑に地球温暖化が与えた影響と猛暑発生の将来… https://t.co/956U5ywUoW
@dansnyder88 @JamesRider3 @GeraldKutney This discussion started with an example. You just appear unable to engage w… https://t.co/ISTcImPKo6
@dansnyder88 @GeraldKutney To add to the mystery, here's a brand new science paper: Huh
The July 2018 high temperature event in Japan could not have happened without human-induced global warming. https://t.co/GZLCmaZkc4
@DavidBCollum @SteveSGoddard @nedthebuff @SenatorShaheen UPDATES: https://t.co/Kn85LoO9GC (via @smithsonian),… https://t.co/lZc1qMDvEG
@goddersbloom @GRI_LSE UPDATES: https://t.co/Kn85LoO9GC (via @smithsonian), https://t.co/V0ejEvFOo8 (via @Reuters),… https://t.co/Djb4x81oMi
@willstirling @SteveSGoddard @swettjc @SenatorShaheen @GRI_LSE UPDATES: https://t.co/Kn85LoO9GC (via @smithsonian),… https://t.co/nigUITsdnH
@LindsayyuleS @tveitdal You keep posting that same one thing. You keep ignoring that the attribution study takes th… https://t.co/YQeN5Yi6vl
The July 2018 high temperature event in Japan could not have happened without human-induced global warming Yukiko I… https://t.co/jNO7dLPCzC
昨日の報道発表。研究代表者は気象庁気象研究所の今田由紀子さん。環境研は全文htmlで出したんだ。気象研の報道発表資料はPDF。 https://t.co/YyiCtH1ckd SOLAの元論文はこちら。… https://t.co/zFuHar660p

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