著者

JANAPATI Jayalakshmi SEELA Balaji Kumar LIN Pay-Liam WANG Pao. K. TSENG Chie-Huei REDDY K. Krishna HASHIGUCHI Hiroyuki FENG Lei DAS Subrata Kumar UNNIKRISHNAN C. K.

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-015, (Released:2020-02-01)

被引用文献数

37

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We made an effort to inspect the raindrop size distribution (RSD) characteristics of Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean tropical cyclones (TCs) using ground-based disdrometer measurements from observational sites in India and Taiwan. Five TCs (2010-2013) from the Indian Ocean and six TCs (2014-2016) from the Pacific Ocean were measured using particle size and velocity disdrometers installed in south India and south Taiwan, respectively. Significant differences between the RSDs of Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean TCs are noticed. For example, a higher number of small drops is observed in Indian Ocean TCs, whereas Pacific Ocean TCs have more mid-size and large drops. RSDs of Pacific Ocean TCs have higher mass-weighted mean diameter and lower normalized intercept parameter than Indian Ocean TCs. RSD values quantified based on rainfall rate and precipitation types also showed similar characteristics between Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean TCs. The radar reflectivity and rainfall rate (Z-R) relations and shape and slope (μ-Λ) relations of both oceanic (Indian and Pacific) TCs are found to be distinctly different. Possible causes for the dissimilarities in RSD features between Indian Ocean and Pacific Ocean TCs are due to relative differences in water vapor availability and convective activity between TCs in these two oceanic basins.

著者

NISHII Kazuaki TAGUCHI Bunmei NAKAMURA Hisashi

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-041, (Released:2020-05-08)

被引用文献数

8

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Through a set of ensemble experiments with an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM), potential influence of sea-surface temperature (SST) anomalies is assessed on large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies that induced two extreme events observed over Japan in July 2018. One is a heavy rain event in early July mainly over western Japan, which was primarily due to extreme moisture inflow associated with a cyclonic anomaly to the southwest of Japan and an anticyclonic anomaly to the east of Japan. An AGCM experiment with global SST anomalies prescribed cannot reproduce the anticyclonic anomaly, which leads to the failure to simulate the enhancement of the moisture inflow and thereby precipitation over western Japan. The other extreme event is a heat wave in mid- and late July almost over entire Japan, which was due to a strong anticyclonic anomaly around Japan. The AGCM experiment with global SST anomalies can well reproduce the warm anticyclonic anomalies. The additional experiments have confirmed that SST anomalies in both the Tropics and midlatitude North Pacific have potential for forcing the leading mode of the atmospheric variability over the western North Pacific that brought the heat wave. Both the tropical and extratropical SST anomalies are also found to force poleward shift of the subtropical jet axis over the western Pacific and anomalous tropospheric warming in the midlatitude Northern Hemisphere both of which persisted in June and July.

著者

YANG Huadong WU Liguang XIE Tong

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-020, (Released:2020-01-22)

被引用文献数

15

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The tropical cyclone (TC) center position is often needed in the study of the inner-core processes although there is currently no consensus on the definition of the TC center. While previous studies evaluated center-detecting methods in terms of the center position, vertical tilt and decomposed symmetric and asymmetric circulations, this study used the 1-km resolution output of the predicted Hurricane Wilma (2005) at 5-minute intervals to evaluate the four TC centers that are frequently used in the diagnostic analysis of the inner-core dynamics processes: the pressure centroid center (PCC), the potential vorticity (PV) centroid center (PVC), the maximum tangential wind center (MTC) and the minimum pressure variance center (MVC) by focusing on the evolution of the small-scale track oscillation and vortex tilt. The differences in the detected center position and vertical tilt are generally small during the course of rapid intensification and eyewall replacement. The four methods all lead to similar small-scale track oscillations that rotate cyclonically around the mean track. While the MVC and PVC lead to a relatively smooth rotation, abrupt changes exist in the track oscillation of the MTC; the track oscillation of the PCC contains amplified embedded rotations that are associated with the PV mixing in the eye region. The tracks of the MVC and PVC relative to the lower-level center (vertical tilt) are generally smooth, while the relative tracks of the MTC and PCC contain abrupt changes. The MVC also leads to the strongest symmetric structure in the tangential wind, PV, and radial PV gradient in the eyewall region. This study suggests that the MVC should be selected in the study of inner-core processes.

著者

Hideo Shiogama Rui Ito Yukiko Imada Toshiyuki Nakaegawa Nagio Hirota Noriko N. Ishizaki Kiyoshi Takahashi Izuru Takayabu Seita Emori

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-013, (Released:2020-03-30)

被引用文献数

7

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The ensemble average projections of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) ensemble show future increases in shortwave radiation at the surface (SW) in Japan. We reveal that the Arctic Oscillation-like atmospheric circulation trends cause cloud cover decreases around Japan, leading to increases in the SW. In many cases, impact assessment studies use the outputs of only a few models due to limited research resources. We find that the four climate models used in the Japanese multisector impact assessment project, S-8, do not sufficiently capture the uncertainty ranges of the CMIP5 ensemble regarding the SW projections. Therefore, the impact assessments using the SW of these four models can be biased. We develop a novel method to select a better subset of models that are more widely distributed and are not biased, unlike the S-8 models.

著者

Yanjie Li

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-016, (Released:2020-04-08)

被引用文献数

1

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The meridional propagation of Rossby waves links different latitudes. Traditional wave propagation theory is mostly discussed in the non-divergent atmosphere. This work emphasizes the influence of the divergent effect on wave propagation by analyzing wave solutions to the linearized shallow-water quasi-geostrophic potential vorticity equation on the zonal mean flow. Changes in the basic-state quantities and wave solutions generated from consideration of the divergent effect are highlighted. Compared with the non-divergent situation, more waves are allowed to exist and propagate to much higher latitudes in the divergent case. The turning latitudes are generally moved northward when the divergent effect is included. This main conclusion is robust in the idealized super-rotational flow and 300 hPa climatological flows in winter and summer. The divergent effect also tends to slow the speed of wave propagation and favor waves reaching remoter longitudes. These finding implicates Rossby wave propagation with divergent effect may contribute more to the long-distance teleconnection than that in non-divergent case.

著者

Masayuki Takigawa Prabir K. Patra Yutaka Matsumi Surendra K. Dhaka Tomoki Nakayama Kazuyo Yamaji Mizuo Kajino Sachiko Hayashida

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-015, (Released:2020-04-06)

被引用文献数

17

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The severe air pollution events continue to occur every year during late October and early November in Delhi, forcing air/land traffic disruptions and anxiety in the daily life of the citizens. We analyze the behaviors of the air pollution events in October and November 2019 that arose from the crop-residue burning as seen using remote sensing techniques. Transport pathways and the mean transit time from the fire hotspots are evaluated using the FLEXPART (FLEXible PARTicle dispersion model). Our results suggest that the polluted regions in Delhi are partly influenced by the crop-residue burning. The uncertainty of our evaluation can be attributable to insufficient information on emission sources because the biomass burning emission based on daily-basis fire radiative power (FRP) of Moderate-Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometry (MODIS) is significantly degraded by the existence of hazy clouds. In future, it is desirable to establish a dense measurement network between Punjab and Delhi for the early detection of the source signals of aerosol emissions and their transport in this region. The FLEXPART model simulation shows the transport of emission signals from Punjab to Delhi, which further expands toward the Bengal region within a span of two days.

著者

TOMITA Tomohiko SHIRAI Taiga YAMAURA Tsuyoshi

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-011, (Released:2019-11-30)

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In general, La Niña (LN) events are longer than El Niño (EN) events. Using objective analysis data, we herein investigated the effects of the Australian winter monsoon (AWM) on prolonging LN events. Conventionally, EN events are terminated through the eastward shift of the anomalous Walker circulation in the equatorial Pacific during March–August. In contrast, the stronger-than-usual AWM induced by the LN anchors the upflow branch of anomalous Walker circulation in the Indonesian maritime continent (IMC). The strength of the AWM is controlled by the surface temperature difference between the IMC and the northern Australian continent (NAC). The LN has a large impact on the decrease in surface temperature on the NAC through decrease of the downward surface short-wave radiation flux and increase in surface soil moisture on the NAC. In LN events, the strength of the AWM and the anomalous Walker circulation reinforce each other through the common convective ascending in and around the IMC, which may be termed LN–AWM feedback, prolonging the duration of LN events. During EN events, such feedback is weak so that EN events generally end in the period of March–August.

著者

UMEZAWA Taku ANDREWS Stephen J. SAITO Takuya

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-007, (Released:2019-11-10)

被引用文献数

1

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Although methane plays an important role in climate change and atmospheric chemistry, its global budget remains quantitatively uncertain due mainly to a wide variety of source types. The stable carbon isotope ratio of atmospheric methane (δ13C-CH4) is useful for separating contributions of different source categories, but due to the complex and laborious analysis, limited measurement data exists. We present a new system for δ13C-CH4 measurement, optimized for the automated analysis of air samples. Although the system is designed in principle similarly to those in previous studies, we successfully set up the system with no use of cryogens (e.g. liquid nitrogen) and attained reproducibility sufficient to analyze atmospheric variations (∼ 0.1 ‰). We performed automated continuous measurements of ambient air outside our laboratory at about hourly intervals for 2 months, which characterized imprint of local methane sources well. Future measurement operation for flask air samples from existing atmospheric monitoring programs will provide a large number of atmospheric δ13C-CH4 data.

著者

HA Kyung-Ja YEO Ji-Hye SEO Ye-Won CHUNG Eui-Seok MOON Ja-Yeon FENG Xuelei LEE Yang-Won HO Chang-Hoi

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-009, (Released:2019-11-16)

被引用文献数

16

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In 2018, heatwaves (HWs), which are defined as period of abnormally hot weather with the daily maximum temperature (T_Max) exceeding its 95th percentile threshold for at least three consecutive days, were prevalent during June to August, and temperature records were broken in many countries over East Asia (EA) including China (CH), Japan (JP), and the Korean Peninsula (KP). In particular, extreme HWs through July to August lasted for the longest duration with 21.3 days with T_Max reaching 36.9°C. The highest T_Max, recorded since 1907, exceeded to 41°C in Hongcheon, located east of Seoul in the KP. Here, we examine the factors that influenced the 2018 HW, and how these relate to the 1994 HW, which was second longest HW recorded in the KP. The results show that abnormally strong and northwestward extended anticyclone features observed in July 2018 lasted as a persistent North Pacific anticyclone anomaly until August 2018 centered at the northern KP. These anticyclone features subsequently formed as a modon-like blocking with a cyclonic anomaly in the East China Sea. Meanwhile, in August 1994, the North Pacific High (NPH) extended to eastern EA, which broked the meridional dipole structure and HWs do not persist. The NPH, which persisted till August 2018, was accompanied by a sinking motion, suppression of precipitation, anomalous maximum temperature, weakening of the westerly jet stream, and increased insolation due to clear sky. We find that the prolonged and northwestward-shifted NPH including the KP drove the extraordinarily hot 2018 summer in Korea. In addition, low precipitation and massive evapotranspiration with the persistent insolation in July 2018 influenced the dry condition at the surface. We suggest that the predictions for the location and duration of the NPH associated with the HWs are required to reduce heat-related mortality and the impact on agriculture due to excessive evapotranspiration.

著者

LIN Yu-Feng WU Chun-Chieh YEN Tzu-Hsiung HUANG Yi-Hsuan LIEN Guo-Yuan

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-006, (Released:2019-11-10)

被引用文献数

3

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Using special data from the field program of “Impact of Typhoons on the Ocean in the Pacific” (2010) and an ensemble Kalman filter-based vortex initialization method, this study explores the impact of the Taiwan terrain on the uncertainty in forecasting track, intensity and rainfall of Typhoon Fanapi (2010) based on ensemble simulations. The results show that the presence of Taiwan topography leads to rapid growths of the simulation uncertainty in track and intensity during the landfall period, in particular at the earlier landfall period. The fast moving ensemble members show an earlier southward track deflection as well as the weakening of intensity, resulting in a sudden increase of standard deviation in track and intensity. During the period of offshore departure from Taiwan, our analysis suggests that the latitudinal location of the long-lasting and elongated rainband to the south of tropical cyclone (TC) center has a strong dependence on the latitude of the TC center. In addition, the rainfall uncertainty in southern Taiwan is dominated by the uncertainty of simulated TC rainband, and the latitude of TC track can be regarded as a good predictor of the rainband's location at departure time. It is also found that the rainband develop farther to the south as the topography is elevated. Considering the fact that the rainband impinging the high mountains in the southern Central Mountain Range generates the greatest accumulated rainfall, positions where the rainband associated circulation and its interaction with topography appear to offer an explanation on the uncertainty of the simulated rainfall.

著者

Satoru Yoshida Sho Yokota Hiromu Seko Tetsu Sakai Tomohiro Nagai

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-008, (Released:2020-02-13)

被引用文献数

9

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We conducted observation system simulation experiments (OSSE) to investigate the effects of water vapor vertical profiles observed by Raman lidar (RL) on forecasts of heavy precipitation in Hiroshima, Japan, on August 19, 2014 using a local ensemble transform Kalman filter. We employed a simulation result similar to reality as nature-run (NR) and performed two OSSEs. In the first experiment (DaQv), conventional observation data and vertical profiles of water vapor mixing ratio in air (qv) estimated from NR were assimilated. In the second experiment (CNTL), only conventional observation data were assimilated. In DaQv, we assumed that the RL was in the low-level inflow that supplied water vapor to the heavy precipitation in Hiroshima. Assimilating qv for several hours increased qv around the RL observation station, especially at low level. The regions modified by the assimilation of qv moved to Hiroshima by low-level inflow, resulting in 9-hour precipitation being approximately 28% greater than that of CNTL, and was thus closer to that of the NR. The OSSEs suggest that water vapor RL observations on the windward side of the heavy precipitation are a useful approach for improving precipitation forecasts.

著者

Tetsuya Takemi

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.16, pp.i-ii, 2020 (Released:2020-01-28)

参考文献数

12

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Scientific Online Letters on the Atmosphere (SOLA) has been a fully Open Access journal under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) License (http://creativecommons.org/ license/by/4.0) since 2018, and has been added in the DOAJ (Directory of Open Access Journals) list. Last year, SOLA has updated the Guide for Authors and renewed its own web site (https://www.metsoc.jp/sola/). In response to the extreme weather events in the summers of 2017 and 2018, SOLA welcomed submissions of paper on the related topics and has published the special edition “Extreme Rainfall Events in 2017 and 2018” as Volume 15A. The published papers cover the large-scale atmospheric and oceanic features of extreme weather in the summer of 2018 (Shimpo et al. 2019; Sekizawa et al. 2019; Takemura et al. 2019; Takaya 2019), the mesoscale environmental properties of the extreme rainfall in July 2018 (Takemi and Unuma 2019), the predictability of extreme weather in the summer of 2018 (Kotsuki et al. 2019; Matsunobu and Matsueda 2019; Kobayashi and Ishikawa 2019), the relationship between a typhoon and the rainfall in July 2018 (Moteki 2019; Enomoto 2019), the use of a gridded precipitation product in investigating extreme rainfalls (Yatagai et al. 2019), and the impacts of global warming on the extreme hot summer in 2018 (Imada et al. 2019). We are growing. SOLA welcomes submission from the international community in meteorology, atmospheric sciences, and the related fields.

著者

Daisuke Hatsuzuka Tomonori Sato Kohei Yoshida Masayoshi Ishii Ryo Mizuta

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-005, (Released:2020-01-16)

被引用文献数

12

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This study investigated future changes in extreme precipitation associated with tropical cyclones (TCs) around Japan using large ensemble regional climate simulations for historical and +4 K climates. Under the warmer climate, extreme TC precipitation, defined as the 90th percentile value of the maximum daily precipitation derived from each TC (TCP90), is projected to increase throughout Japan from Kyushu to Kanto. We attributed most of the increase in TCP90 to increased atmospheric moisture due to global warming. Furthermore, it was found that TCP90 is projected to increase for all TC intensity categories. However, the projected increase in intense TCs affects TCP90 in only a limited area. Stronger TCs enhance TCP90 over east- and north-facing slopes of mountainous terrain, while TCP90 in most other areas is insensitive to TC intensity. These results suggest that even relatively weak TCs could have potential to produce extreme precipitation that might cause natural disasters.

著者

Udai Shimada Munehiko Yamaguchi Shuuji Nishimura

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-001, (Released:2019-12-17)

被引用文献数

8

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Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) best track data indicate that the number of rapid intensification (RI) tropical cyclone events in the western North Pacific increased from 1987 to 2018. To clarify whether this increase is due to climatological changes or qualitative changes in the data, the long-term trend of RI events in JMA operational Dvorak data, which have been used as the first guess for best track analysis, was investigated. Because the JMA Dvorak analysis procedure has remained almost unchanged since 1987, the temporal homogeneity of the Dvorak data is expected to be much better than that of the best track data. The results showed no discernable trend in Dvorak-based RI events over the 32 years. Although the frequency distribution of 24-h intensity changes changed slightly in the Dvorak analysis, that of the best track data changed significantly; as a result, the frequency of best track-based RI events increased after 2006. JMA started using microwave satellite imagery for best track analysis in 2006. This change likely affected the temporal homogeneity of the best track data. These results suggest that the increase in best track-based RI events was due mainly to qualitative changes related to advances in observational techniques.

著者

Arata Amemiya Takumi Honda Takemasa Miyoshi

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2020-002, (Released:2019-12-28)

被引用文献数

7

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The observation operator for the Phased Array Weather Radar in the SCALE-LETKF data assimilation system is revisited, and the impact of its improvement on the analyses and forecasts is examined. The observation operator provides a functional relationship between equivalent radar reflectivity factor (Ze) and hydrometeor mass density (W) of each precipitation particle category. The W − Ze relationship is obtained by a radar simulator. This study performs a radiation code calculation with the parameters regarding particle size distribution of graupel consistent with the cloud microphysics scheme in the SCALE model. The newly obtained observation operator provides much stronger sensitivity of graupel mixing ratio to observed Ze compared to the operator originally used in the model. To examine the impact on the SCALE-LETKF analyses and forecasts, an experiment on a 13 July 2013 heavy rain case is performed with the new observation operator and is compared with the previous study. The forecast initiated by the analysis using the new operator shows much more realistic evolution of Ze in the middle troposphere, where a large amount of graupel is located. The overestimation of forecast Ze is significantly alleviated by the new observational operator. The 30-minute forecast of surface precipitation rate is also improved.

著者

Daisuke Matsuoka Shiori Sugimoto Yujin Nakagawa Shintaro Kawahara Fumiaki Araki Yosuke Onoue Masaaki Iiyama Koji Koyamada

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2019-028, (Released:2019-06-28)

被引用文献数

7

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In this study, a stationary front is automatically detected from weather data using a U-Net deep convolutional neural network. The U-Net trained the transformation process from single/multiple physical quantities of weather data to detect stationary fronts using a 10-year data set. As a result of applying the trained U-Net to a 1-year untrained data set, the proposed approach succeeded in detecting the approximate shape of seasonal fronts with the exception of typhoons. In addition, the wind velocity (zonal and meridional components), wind direction, horizontal temperature gradient at 1000 hPa, relative humidity at 925 hPa, and water vapor at 850 hPa yielded high detection performance. Because the shape of the front extracted from each physical quantity is occasionally different, it is important to comprehensively analyze the results to make a final determination.

著者

Bing CHEN Li DONG Guangyu SHI Li-Juan LI Liang-Fu CHEN

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.92A, pp.157-165, 2014 (Released:2014-11-05)

参考文献数

32

被引用文献数

10 32

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The estimation of the distribution of global anthropogenic heat release (AHR) from 1992 to 2009 was obtained by applying Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP)/Operational Linescan System (OLS) satellite data. The results indicate that global AHR was geographically concentrated, essentially correlating to economic activities. The anthropogenic heat flux concentrated in the economically developed areas, such as East Asia, Europe, and Eastern North America, reached a level high enough to influence regional climate. In contrast, the anthropogenic heat flux in vast areas, such as Africa, Central and North Asia, and South America, is very small. With the increases in global population and economic development, an increase in AHR was easily found. The model results show that AHR has a significant impact on surface temperature and that it is able to affect global atmospheric circulation, leading to a 1-2 K increase in the high-latitude areas of Eurasia and North America. The results show that AHR is able to affect global climate despite being limited to a region. Although the influence to global warming by AHR is not as large as greenhouse gases, such as carbon dioxide, on a global scale, AHR is an important factor in global climate change that should not be ignored.

著者

QIN Zhengkun ZOU Xiaolei

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

気象集誌. 第2輯 (ISSN:00261165)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2019-064, (Released:2019-09-13)

被引用文献数

10

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The Tibetan Plateau (TP) and the atmospheric conditions over it strongly affect downstream regional weather. Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A (AMSU-A) brightness temperature observations provide temperature sounding information and have been long assimilated successfully for numerical weather prediction. AMSU-A brightness temperatures observed from the polar-orbiting NOAA-15 and -18 satellites in July and August 2016 were collected. During these months, the equator crossing time of these particular satellites was around 0600 local time. Observations collected within the three-hour periods centered at 0000 UTC and 1200 UTC, covering the TP, were assimilated. The weighting coefficients for mid-tropospheric AMSU-A channels 6 and 7 were significantly reduced over areas with terrain heights greater than 2 km and 4 km, respectively, in the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Gridpoint Statistical Interpolation system. The assimilation of AMSU-A observations was improved to better exploit the role of AMSU-A channels 6 and 7 over the TP. This was achieved by not decreasing the weighting coefficients of the two channels over the grassy surface of the TP’s high terrain so that they were consistent with the inverse error variances. This modification produced larger positive impacts of satellite data assimilation on the 48-h forecasts of the mid-tropospheric trough, water vapor, and quantitative precipitation forecasts downstream of the TP. This study also suggests the importance of having AMSU-A observations from early-morning satellite orbits for numerical weather prediction downstream of the TP.

著者

Sachie Kanada Hidenori Aiki Kazuhisa Tsuboki Izuru Takayabu

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2019-044, (Released:2019-11-07)

被引用文献数

8

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From 16 to 23 August 2016, typhoons T1607, T1609, and T1611 hit eastern Hokkaido in northern Japan and caused heavy rainfall that resulted in severe disasters. To understand future changes in typhoon-related precipitation (TRP) in midlatitude regions, climate change experiments on these three typhoons were conducted using a high-resolution three-dimensional atmosphere–ocean coupled regional model in current and pseudo-global warming (PGW) climates. All PGW simulations projected decreases in precipitation frequency with an increased frequency of strong TRP and decreased frequency of weak TRP in eastern Hokkaido. In the current climate, snow-dominant precipitation systems start to cause precipitation in eastern Hokkaido about 24 hours before landfall. In the PGW climate, increases in convective available potential energy (CAPE) developed tall and intense updrafts and the snow-dominant precipitation systems turned to have more convective property with less snow mixing ratio (QS). Decreased QS reduced precipitation area, although strong precipitation increased or remained almost the same. Only TRP of T1607 increased the amounts before landfall. In contrast, all typhoons projected to increase TRP amount associated with landfall, because in addition to increased CAPE, the PGW typhoon and thereby its circulations intensified, and a large amount of rain was produced in the core region.

著者

Kenichi Kusunoki Ken-ichiro Arai Hanako Y. Inoue Chusei Fujiwara

出版者

Meteorological Society of Japan

雑誌

SOLA (ISSN:13496476)

巻号頁・発行日

pp.2019-042, (Released:2019-10-24)

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On December 11, 2012, a wind gust caused an F0-intensity wind damage in the Shonai area, Yamagata Prefecture, Japan. This paper provides an overview of an anticyclonic misocyclone (i.e., anticyclonic circulation in the Doppler velocity) related to a wind gust from X-band Doppler radar data. The anticyclonic misocyclone was embedded within a cell with a spiral echo diameter of approximately 3-4 km. The misocyclone over the Sea of Japan moved southeastward at a speed of 11 m s−1, made landfall, and passed over the damaged area; this timing is consistent with the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) wind damage assessment. Over the damaged area, the diameter of the misocyclone in the Doppler velocity was estimated to be smaller than 893 m, and the peak tangential wind speed and the vorticity of the vortex were estimated to be at least 8 m s−1 and −3.6 × 10−2 sec−1, respectively. This study discusses various possible explanations for the relationship between the misocyclone and wind gust and provides a first overview of a wintertime anticyclonic misocyclone associated with a surface wind gust on the coast of the Sea of Japan and may provide useful insights to the understanding of wintertime vortices.