著者

河合 将志 日高 薫 鈴木 崇史

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.48, no.1, pp.29-37, 2021 (Released:2021-11-10)

参考文献数

51

---

US President Donald Trump is known for his unique character. However, does the notion imply that his policy is unique? Existing studies on presidents have assumed that Trump's policy significantly differs from that of former President Barack Obama due to extremely biased policies, especially foreign policy. To test the validity of such a common view, the study conducted a quantitative text analysis of executive orders issued by both presidents. Results show that (1) there are systematic differences between Obama's and Trump's policy; (2) tracklessness, rather than deflectiveness highlights the uniqueness of Trump's policy; and (3) the uniqueness of Trump's policy is pronounced in domestic rather than foreign policy.

著者

財津 亘 金 明哲

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.46, no.2, pp.87-95, 2019 (Released:2020-03-31)

参考文献数

25

---

This study examined the difference between authors and the consistency in each author's writing styles, both were the basis of authorship verification. We analyzed 88 academic papers on psychology written by 22 authors and focused on the rates of “non-content words”, “bigram of parts-of-speech”, “bigram of postpositional particles”, “positioning of commas”, ”words before period”, and “Kanji, Hiragana, and Katakana” in the papers. Next, symmetric Kullback-Leibler divergence distances between the papers were calculated. To examine the author differences in writing styles, using hierarchical Bayesian modeling, we compared the distances between papers written by the same author with those by different authors. Furthermore, to examine author consistency in writing styles, we compared the distances of short durations (under five years) between papers written by the same author with the longer durations (over five years). These results supported the hypothesis that there exist author differences and consistency in writing styles.

著者

竹内 啓

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.14, no.1, pp.85-90, 1986-09-30 (Released:2010-06-28)

著者

北田 淳子

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.38, no.1, pp.13-32, 2011 (Released:2011-07-04)

参考文献数

26

被引用文献数

2 3

---

In Japan the “Basic Resident Register (BRR) ” is often used for statistical random sampling in public opinion surveys. The objective of the present paper is to compare two types of area sampling methods, without using the BRR. The first one (RRM) is a random route method, and the second one (DRM) is a method based on a database for a digital residential map. As a result, the percentage of data collected in the case of RRM was very low;and in the case of DRM, there was an uneven distribution in terms of respondents' age (a higher percentage of older respondents). However, when this bias was corrected by according weight to the population proportion, no strong significant difference concerning answer distributions was found. In each survey, the same substantial changes were detected statistically, compared with a past survey data based on the BRR. The findings suggest that these sampling methods are useful when accompanied with a careful analysis in spite of the resulting problems.

著者

山口 一大 岡田 謙介

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.44, no.2, pp.181-198, 2017 (Released:2018-04-26)

参考文献数

95

被引用文献数

1

---

Cognitive Diagnostic Models (CDMs) have been developed for a few decades to reveal students' knowledge status. The purpose of this paper is to provide a review of recent advances in CDMs, and to figure out the trend in its model development. In the paper, we first introduce the fundamental concept of CDMs, and then summarize broad range of modern CDMs by classifying them into compensatory, noncompensatory, and integrated models as well as other emerging approaches. Finally, we discuss the future orientation of CDM studies with focus on the empirical applications.

著者

西井 真祐子 守口 剛

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.47, no.2, pp.187-197, 2020 (Released:2021-04-21)

参考文献数

24

---

The authors focus on consumers' reading direction for capturing product's visual information. There has been a great deal of research done, but these have discussed separately from product's image information and character information such as product's name. This study investigates the processes of the visual stimulus when product's information and product's image are processed simultaneously and how that affects product preference. Three experiment studies examined that effect of the direction of a product's cast shadow on processing fluency and product preference. Those revealed two points that (1) the consistency of direction between the product name written on the product package and the product's cast-shadow could enhance consumers' processing fluency, (2) the effect of the consistency of two directions on processing fluency may enhance product evaluation. Additionally, it is worth noting that we recruited several measuring methods for capturing “processing fluency” to reinforce the robustness of our findings.

著者

上阪 彩香

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.45, no.2, pp.135-151, 2018 (Released:2019-04-26)

参考文献数

29

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In this article, we focus on Saikaku’s posthumous works. Saikaku Ihara (c. 1642~93) is a fiction writer of the Genroku period (1688~1704) in Japan. His researchershave tried to identify his works but problems continue to exist. It remains unclearwhich works were really written by Saikaku especially his posthumous works. This pa-per examines the author of his posthumous works using Random Forests, Boosting andBagging. First, we examined Saikaku and Dansui’s works. A unigram of Japanese par-ticles is the best variable in our research. Among these algorithm, the preferred orderof classification accuracy rate is found to be Random Forests > AdaBoost > Bagging.Then, we examined his posthumous works using the usefulness 9 futures that we gotthe first analysis. It was found that from the result that most chapters are classifiedunder Saikaku, whereas some chapters are classified under Dansui. From what has beendiscussed above, we can conclude that Saikaku’s posthumous works are more likely tobe Saikaku’s than Dansui’s. The result supports the assumption that Dansui relativelyedit the Saikaku’s draft with sufficient accuracy rate however our result also providespotential to has become increasing Dansui’s editing throughout five years.

著者

豊田 秀樹 川端 一光 中村 健太郎 片平 秀貴

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.34, no.1, pp.101-110, 2007 (Released:2007-05-30)

参考文献数

15

被引用文献数

1 1 1

---

This study proposes the adoption of a neural network as an alternative to logistic regression analysis, which is conventionally used to estimate the propensity score (Rosenbaum & Rubin, 1983). Moreover, covariates that are frequently obscured are presented.Considering the response pattern to a mail survey by random sampling as a criterion, we examined how is the response pattern to a Web survey by purposive selection rectified using the propensity score. The propensity score was estimated using the subjects' demographic variables as covariates.The results of adopting a neural network were compared with those of the logistic regression analysis. As a result, the accuracy of bias reduction by the threelayer neural networks was found to be greater than that by the logistic regression analysis.In addition, detailed contents of the covariates were presented, and a decision tree was produced to examine the influence of covariates on allocation of the subjects to survey forms.

著者

上田 雅夫

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.46, no.2, pp.97-106, 2019 (Released:2020-03-31)

参考文献数

31

---

The objective in this research is to propose an index for customer relationship management instead of utilizing RFM or share of wallet. This study examined whether the number of days from contract to initial usage can be used as the index for customer management. For this purpose, an empirical analysis was conducted by using a Bayesian model with purchase history data of a single year and three years regarding two kinds of credit cards and a customer master data. The results of the empirical analysis showed the shorter duration to the contract day, the amount of money for the one hundred eighty days from initial usage became higher. These results clarified that the days can be utilized as the index for customer management. In the conventional customer management index such as RFM, it is necessary to store purchase history data for several months in a data warehouse, however, this proposed method does not need to store transaction data since the duration data can be utilized. Hence, this index can promptly find problematic customers.

著者

星野 崇宏

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.34, no.1, pp.33-48, 2007 (Released:2007-05-30)

参考文献数

25

被引用文献数

2 4

---

We showed that the propensity score weighted M-estimation method proposed by Hoshino (2005) can be applied in order to adjust for the bias in sampling surveys for marketing research. Further, using real data sets, we investigated the capabilities and the limitations of the propensity score adjustment method to the adjustment of the biased internet surveys and demonstrated the validity of Hoshino's method. By using the covariates selected the method proposed by Hoshino and Maeda (2006) in two similar surveys, we found that the effectiveness of the adjustment method using the propensity scores was reproducible.

著者

上阪 彩香

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.45, no.2, pp.135-151, 2018

---

<p>In this article, we focus on Saikaku's posthumous works. Saikaku Ihara (c. 1642~93) is a fiction writer of the Genroku period (1688~1704) in Japan. His researchershave tried to identify his works but problems continue to exist. It remains unclearwhich works were really written by Saikaku especially his posthumous works. This pa-per examines the author of his posthumous works using Random Forests, Boosting andBagging. First, we examined Saikaku and Dansui's works. A unigram of Japanese par-ticles is the best variable in our research. Among these algorithm, the preferred orderof classification accuracy rate is found to be Random Forests > AdaBoost > Bagging.Then, we examined his posthumous works using the usefulness 9 futures that we gotthe first analysis. It was found that from the result that most chapters are classifiedunder Saikaku, whereas some chapters are classified under Dansui. From what has beendiscussed above, we can conclude that Saikaku's posthumous works are more likely tobe Saikaku's than Dansui's. The result supports the assumption that Dansui relativelyedit the Saikaku's draft with sufficient accuracy rate however our result also providespotential to has become increasing Dansui's editing throughout five years.</p>

著者

竹内 真登 星野 崇宏

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.44, no.1, pp.45-56, 2017 (Released:2017-12-01)

参考文献数

36

被引用文献数

2 1

---

The purpose of this study is to demonstrate that process simulation can improve the prediction accuracy of marketing research. First, we argue that photo-simulation-manipulation, proposed by Takeuchi (2015), is based on process simulation. Considering this argument, we conduct a randomized experiment in which participants are assigned to three groups (photo-simulation-manipulation vs. how-manipulation vs. non-manipulation). The participants answer the mind-set manipulation task based on the condition assigned to them and conjoint measurement in the main experiment. In addition, we investigate the products that the participants actually purchased in a follow-up survey. We find that in contrast to non-manipulation, photo-simulation-manipulation improves the prediction accuracy of participants' purchase deduced from conjoint measurement. We discuss the reason for this result and conclude that the participant responses better reflect actual purchase behavior due to activation of memory of past purchases and association with the target products caused by process simulation.

著者

大江 基貴 越智 義道 後藤 昌司

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.44, no.2, pp.167-179, 2017 (Released:2018-04-26)

参考文献数

32

---

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is a currently well-developed statistical tool for characterizing accuracy of medical diagnostic tests. Recently, several authors suggest approaches referred to as ROC regression models in order to evaluate effects of factors influencing accuracy of diagnostics. Oe, Ochi, & Goto (2016) have presented an inference process of a ROC regression model based on Generalized Additive Model with penalized splines via REstricted Maximum Likelihood method. This approach focuses on smoothing continuous-type covariates, but in addition to continuous covariates (e.g. age, weight, etc), discrete covariates (e.g. sex, smoking, etc) often significantly effect on accuracy of diagnostics. On this article, we proposed an extended method so that we could model discrete and continuous covariates simultaneously. We provided the formulation and the inference procedure, and evaluated inference performance of this method through several simulations. In the simulation result, we found that both effect of discrete and continuous covariates on the ROC was appropriately estimated. Furthermore, we applied our method to the neonatal hearing impairment screening data and evaluated how some covariates effect on the ROC with auditory brainstem response (ABR) as a diagnostic valuable for hearing impairment. From the analysis results, it was suggested that sex and Transient Evoked Otoacoustic Emission (TEOAE) influenced on the ROC with ABR.

著者

沖 嘉訓 前川 眞一

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.44, no.1, pp.57-72, 2017 (Released:2017-12-01)

参考文献数

23

---

Equating or linking, which calibrate the parameters of two or more tests, are critical to the application of IRT, because they allow for comparisons between test scores. Common item design or common person design is often used for equating. In Multidimensional item response theory model (MIRT), there is a case that both common item design and common person design are available. However, few studies about the equating process corresponding to such a case has not been conducted. The present study proposes the integration of common item and common person criteria and analyzes the characteristics of the method through computer simulations. The results of the simulations reveal the proposed method is effective when one must take both criterion into consideration.

著者

朴 堯星 稲垣 佑典 土屋 隆裕

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.44, no.1, pp.95-107, 2017 (Released:2017-12-01)

参考文献数

42

---

A decline of the voting rate becomes conspicuous in Japan in recent years. There is a movement which tries to improve the governance and increase of political participation through participation to community activity according to Putnam (1993). This paper clarifies empirically the impact of the attitudes and behavior of community residents on the voting behavior. We conducted questionnaire survey toTama-Area Residents in order to examine the effect of the impact of the local political environment on the attitudes and behavior of community residents. Furthermore, we compared the voting behavior with four group's significant difference based on Age groups, on attitudes about local governance. The causal structure is identified by using the multiple group Structural Equation Modeling between four groups.

著者

石岡 恒憲

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.31, no.2, pp.67-87, 2004 (Released:2005-11-22)

参考文献数

70

被引用文献数

5 1 8

---

With the aim of removing human errors and providing critical feedback and suggestions for improvement, considerable research has be done on computer-based automated essay-scoring systems. Examples of these include e-rater, PEG, IEA, IntelliMetric, and BETSY. This paper summarizes how these systems work in an attempt to comprehend their features. They are also compared. An automated Japanese essay-scoring system named Jess is introduced, including our analysis of its performance. Lastly, difficulties caused by its treatment of Japanese passages and related problems are discussed.

著者

松田 映二

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.37, no.2, pp.159-188, 2010 (Released:2011-01-22)

参考文献数

25

被引用文献数

1 3

---

The current response rates of mail surveys conducted by Asahi Shimbun are typically above 75 percent. A major contributing factor of these high response rates is the respect that Asahi Shimbun commands. However, the response rates of our face-to-face surveys are about 15 percent lower than those of mail surveys. This paper provides new findings and presents many potential factors influencing mail surveys. Response rates are less affected by the survey topic if we use the same operational details. The response rates of three recent mail surveys are 78% (topic: Trust), 77% (Health), and 79% (Politics). Further, three characteristic curves of cumulative returns are very similar. However, members of the sample who have an interest in the topics respond faster than people who answer surveys as a result of effective follow-ups and incentives. Effective strategies for offering incentives yield higher response rates and lower the effect of topic interest.

著者

宮原 英夫 池田 憲昭 堤 邦彦 高見堂 正彦 小口 徹 三浦 貞則

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.14, no.1, pp.30-38, 1986-09-30 (Released:2010-06-28)

参考文献数

9

被引用文献数

1 2 1

---

Sinece1978, the candidates for the Kitasato University, Medical School have been requested to answer the translated edition of MMPI. For these5years, two kinds of Japanese editions were adopted for test alternately, and total of3894male and786female candidates took this test. Using this material, the authors have studied the influence of translation into Japanese on the response for each MMPI item and profile pattern. The results were as follows: (1)Excluding D and Si scales, the mean scores of the remaining 12scales of either Doshisha or Nihon-edition were located within a difference of one standard deviation from the mean values of the norm group. (2)By means of item by item comparison, considerably large difference between the two editions was observed in the percentage of cases giving?gtrue?hresponse. This fact suggested that difference between the editions had to be taken into consideration when individual items were used separately or scales were newly constructed by using items with high risk of different response pattern.

著者

木下 冨雄

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.43, no.1, pp.5-12, 2016 (Released:2016-09-09)

参考文献数

39

被引用文献数

1

---

Although the mathematical bases of risk are not entirely derived from the probability theory, the two have a delicate and unique relationship. At the origin of the science of risk, insurance companies flourished in the 17th and 18th centuries, where the calculation of insurance premium was based on probabilistic concepts, especially those developed by Pascal. Distinguished mathematicians such as Huygens, Bernoulli, and Bayes all belonged to this era. The probability theory was often used for risk analysis with relatively simple structures such as chemicals and toxicology, and this tendency is still dominant today. However, as risk targets expanded to include complex and non-linear phenomena such as environmental and social risks, the conventional, simple probability theory proved inadequate. In particular, probabilistic tools cannot be used to assess the complex mechanisms of low-level radiation risk. Moreover, huge earthquakes and nuclear power plant meltdown incidents that have a low frequency of occurrence but devastating repercussions cannot be approached with the probability theory. The appropriate mathematical model for such risks has not yet been developed.

著者

鈴木 達三

出版者

日本行動計量学会

雑誌

行動計量学 (ISSN:03855481)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.30, no.1, pp.73-91, 2003 (Released:2006-07-03)

参考文献数

42

被引用文献数

1 1

---

Until now, social surveys (i.e., public opinion surveys) heve been conducted using the face-to-face interview method. This is due to the facts that: (a) resident registrations (or voting registries), which are regarded as a sampling frame which adequately represents total populations, are available in Japan and can relatively easily facilitate obtaining unbiased probability samples, and (b) the reliability of the face-to-face interview method in surveys is regarded as high. Conversely, from the perspective of the spread of household telephones, the telephone survey method has been regarded as one by which it is impossible to obtain probability samples which represent ordinary citizens. Since the 1980s, household telephone coverage has increased (to over 90%). Consequently, the telephone survey method, which is especially useful for its promptness, has been used for voter forecasting surveys, and in the 1990s this method also has been utilized in public opinion surveys. However, not enough research on the telephone survey method has yet been done with respect to the representativeness of its samples or the reliability of survey results. This paper discusses past and current research regarding telephone surveys (specifically the current RDD survey method), and actual survey results, including their errors (except sampling errors). Moreover, by comparing the responses using both the telephone survey method and face-to-face interviews, the differences between the two methods are discussed. The current RDD method is viable; however, we cannot predict this method's future due to developments in communication technology. Finally, because there are many problems to overcome with respect to actual survey methods, further research, e.g., accumulating actual survey results and re-analyzing existing survey data, is necessary.