著者

鈴木 雄太 糸井川 栄一

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.35, pp.253-262, 2019-11-01 (Released:2020-05-08)

参考文献数

17

---

After an earthquake, real-time evacuation guidance, which guides inhabitants to safe site from danger area based on fire information, is important as an emergency measure against simultaneous fires. In this study, we optimized a realtime route considering incompleteness of fire information. First, we constructed the stochastic model called “evacuation probability”, which is the probability that evacuee can reach evacuation site without encountering an undetected fire. Second, we maximize an evacuation probability on a real-time route under condition of securing a specified value of “safe margin of evacuation”, which means maximum tolerance on a deviation between a forecasted fire speed and an actual one. Finally, we discussed characteristics of the route with visualizing and analyzing results of simulations.

著者

野 貴泰 糸井川 栄一

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.37, pp.239-248, 2020-11-01 (Released:2021-01-29)

参考文献数

36

---

In this paper, we discuss an evaluation experiment of the crime deterrent effect in hot spots patrol of the crime by the police. In recent years, a number of studies in foreign countries have argued that hot spots policing can be effective in reducing crime. However, the number of crimes and city environment are different from Japan and foreign countries.Our study attempted empirical experiments for crime deterrent in our country. First, examining crime prediction using retrospective crime data in Nagano prefecture, the hot spots were identified by crime prediction methods. Next, in order to assess the crime deterrent effect, we conducted hot spots patrol by the police. Finally, we detect statistically significant crime reduction in hot spots area.

著者

平木 繁 市古 太郎

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.38, pp.59-68, 2021-03-26 (Released:2021-12-25)

参考文献数

20

---

The purpose of this study is to grasp the actual operation of the designated manager who was involved in the operation of the evacuation center during the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake and to extract the issues. We examined the evacuation shelters of the three local governments and extracted the characteristics and issues of the evacuation shelters operated by designated managers. We were able to confirm the effectiveness of the evacuation shelter operated by the designated manager, and obtained knowledge that would be useful for future large-scale disaster response.

著者

宇田川 真之 三船 恒裕 定池 祐季 磯打 千雅子 黄 欣悦 田中 淳

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.36, pp.83-90, 2020-03-27 (Released:2020-12-03)

参考文献数

21

---

This study examined factors which influence the intention of evacuation behavior. We expected that the behavioral intention of evacuation is determined by six cognitive factors; perceived risk, response-efficacy, self-efficacy, response cost, descriptive norm, injunctive norm.We conducted a survey using a standard questionnaire in Kochi prefecture and identified the six factors. The standard questionnaire revealed that the factors affecting the intention of evacuation behavior differed depending on the residence and residence period.And srveys in multiple regions have the same result that the influence of subjective norms was large.

著者

高島 正典 林 春男 田中 聡 重川 希志依 牧 紀男 田村 圭子 堀江 啓 吉富 望 浦川 豪 藤春 兼久 佐藤 翔輔 木村 玲欧

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 = Journal of social safety science (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.7, pp.151-160, 2005-11-01

参考文献数

16

被引用文献数

3

---

<p>We examined the effectiveness of Service Management Framework in designing counter operations in disaster victim support through the hands-on support activity for Ojiya city's victim certification after Niigata-ken Chuetsu Earthquake, Oct. 23, 2004. The service package and the Service Delivery System for the counter operation of victim certificate issuance was designed and implemented on the basis of Service Management Framework. As a result of customer satisfaction survey on Ojiya city and Kawaguchi town, a neighbouring town also affected in the event, it was clarified that the counter operation of Ojiya city was evaluated higher in terms of simplicity of the procedure by the victims than that of Kawaguchi town.</p>

著者

藤本 一雄 翠川 三郎

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.7, pp.241-246, 2005-11-11 (Released:2019-01-19)

参考文献数

17

---

In order to propose an empirical method for estimating Japan Meteorological Agency instrumental seismic intensity from ground motion parameters, the strong motion records during recent major earthquakes, e.g., the 2000 Tottori-ken Seibu earthquake and the 2004 Niigata-ken Chuetsu earthquake, are compiled. Using the strong motion data including relatively large number of records with high intensity level, the relationships between instrumental seismic intensity and three ground motion parameters, i.e., peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity (PGV) and the product of PGA and PGV, are examined. Results indicate that an empirical method for estimating the instrumental seismic intensity from the parameters would predict the seismic intensity with reasonable accuracy in high intensity range.

著者

翠川 三郎 藤本 一雄 村松 郁栄

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.1, pp.51-56, 1999-11-19 (Released:2018-09-08)

参考文献数

12

被引用文献数

5

---

The correlation of the new J.M.A. instrumental seismic intensity with the former J.M.A・Seismic intensity and ground motion parameters is examined. The 215 strong-motion records with the intensity of 0 to 7 are used for the analysis. The instrumental seismic intensity computed from the records agrees well with the former seismic intensity determined from human response or observation of damage. The instrumental intensity shows slightly higher correlation with peak ground velocity than peak ground acceleration, and shows highest correlation with the parameters such as the product of the peak velocity and the peak acceleration.

著者

齋藤 貴史 糸井川 栄一 梅本 通孝

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.35, pp.37-47, 2019-11-01 (Released:2020-05-08)

参考文献数

35

---

On the large-scale disaster, the power of community disaster management is very important. After the Great East Japan earthquake, the community disaster management plan system was started. After making the plan, the community is needed to prepare for the disaster according to the plan. In this study, we focused on communitiy associations that formulated the plan and investigated the actual situation of the community disaster management based on a questionair survey on community association officers and residents. And we also evaluated the feasibility of disaster management of community association targeted using FTA method. Further, we got suggestions of future community disaster prevention activities.

著者

加古 嘉信 吉村 晶子 小山 真紀 宮里 直也 関 文夫 中島 康 佐藤 史明

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.36, pp.65-73, 2020

---

<p>In order to allocate a rescue team with suitable capability required for a site, it is important to relevantly assess the rescue difficulty of each site for efficient resource utilization in disaster response. In this study, we used the empirical data on rescue operations conducted at collapsed wooden building sites during the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquakes collected by<b> </b>National Police Agency, and analyzed on the relation between duration times of rescue operations and some factors such as building damage grades, scales of rescue sites, situations of victim entrapments, and so on. As a result, it was found that damage grades and space scales didn't affect much on duration times and the affecting factors of rescue difficulty were found to be the situations of entrapments; pressurization and configurations under the victims.</p>

著者

川見 文紀 松川 杏寧 佐藤 翔輔 立木 茂雄

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.35, pp.217-224, 2019-11-01 (Released:2020-05-08)

参考文献数

28

被引用文献数

1

---

The purpose of this study is to investigate causal effects of designated temporary housing policy on housing recovery. This study used two sets of population recovery data. The first was the 2015 Natori City Life Recovery Population Survey Data (N=1,695 out of 2331 households, return rate 72.7%). The second was the entire record of temporary housing residency in Natori City (N=3088 households). These datum were integrated (N=1206). After confounding adjustment by the propensity score analysis, survival analysis was conducted. The result showed that the effects of temporary housing types on temporary housing residency was non-significant when confounding factors were controlled.

著者

湯原 麻子 熊谷 良雄

出版者

地域安全学会事務局

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 = Journal of social safety science (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.3, pp.141-146, 2001-11-01

参考文献数

9

被引用文献数

6

---

When a strong earthquake hits an urban area in the daytime, the traffic system would be paralyzed and massive commuter will be left in their work places. According to some studies, many commuters would face difficulties to go home. Although many countermeasures are required for both public and private sectors having offices in the CBD: Central Business District, current level of their program is not enough. To seek a clue to solve this "unavoidable remaining in CBD" issue, we focus on commuters who could be allowed to leave their offices during an earthquake disaster. This paper analyses and discusses factors behind their way of decision-making in countermeasures for the "unavoidable remaining in CBD".

著者

岡田 成幸 村田 さやか 高井 伸雄

出版者

地域安全学会事務局

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 = Journal of social safety science (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.3, pp.241-248, 2001-11-01

参考文献数

4

被引用文献数

2

---

Not so many municipal authorities in Japan have prepared the regional mitigation plans based on seismic hazard and risk assessment. As the result of this, most of authorities seem to adopt the standardized disaster prevention plans not paying attention to the regional characteristics such as seismic circumstances, geological conditions, and social backgrounds. In spite of that regional seismic risk is characterized by provoking causes and primary causes, there are some studies on the latter one. In this paper, we gave an example of the rule of making decision about the priority of mitigation plans from the point of view of rural settlement typology, which is an element of primary causes. We applied the method of paired comparisons to decision-making on priority measures for earthquake prevention planning.

著者

崔 青林 谷口 仁士 兼田 敏之

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 = Journal of social safety science (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.10, pp.153-159, 2008-11-01

参考文献数

10

---

<p>In this paper, we analyzed the influence that the crowd inflow in the terminal station transfer passage gave to stayed. This model is based on findings of a field survey at Nagoya Station and the past crowd accident investigations. The agent model that we developed is applied to the different cases for the validity check. Simulation is modeled on North Corridor at JR Nagoya Station, and we shows the results under the various settings. such as the in-flow co-efficiency and OD patterns. Under the realistic case setting, we analyzed the results on local crowd density on the corridor of Nagoya station.</p>

著者

寅屋敷 哲也 杉安 和也 花田 悠磨 佐藤 翔輔 村尾 修

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.35, pp.243-252, 2019

---

<p>The authors conducted interview survey to the member of disaster management headquarter and also conducted questionnaire survey to all town officials of the Minamisanriku town government at the time of the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami in 2011, in order to evaluate the impact of business continuity of municipality government in alternative facility after the tsunami. Firstly, it is revealed that the facts and issues in the initial disaster response by them. Secondary, we suggested considerations in two perspectives, "delay in composing member of the disaster management headquarter" and "issues of layout of alternative facility and other disaster response bases", based on the results of the surveys.</p>

著者

越智 祐子 堀江 啓 立木 茂雄

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.7, pp.79-86, 2005-11-11 (Released:2019-01-19)

参考文献数

22

---

Monument construction was proposed as a new index on community recovery from the Hanshin-Awaji earthquake disaster. Three facilitating and two suppressing factors of monument construction were identified by using GIS and multiple regression analysis method. Three facilitating factors were that there was earthquake caused death, evacuation shelters and urban redeveloped. Two suppressing factors were that there was urban redevelopment where was earthquake caused death and temporary housing. The clue of community recovery can be obtained by paying attention to whether monument was constructed or not.

著者

松田 泰治 大塚 久哲 樗木 武 内田 広明

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.2, pp.95-100, 2000-11-17 (Released:2018-09-08)

参考文献数

14

---

The City of Fukuoka suffered great damage from the heavy rains in July 29th 1999. Peculiarity of this disaster was that underground space was flooded and this caused death. Disaster prevention planing in underground space was not enough. In closed space as underground shopping street, human behavior during evacuation is confused. For safe and quick evacuation, it is important to make rational disaster prevention planing based on the prediction of human behaviors. In this research, human behaviors during evacuation in Teijin underground shopping street were simulated using Cellar Automata. Applicability of this method was discussed in this paper.

著者

田中 正人 上野 易弘

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 = Journal of social safety science (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.15, pp.437-444, 2011-11-01

参考文献数

11

---

<p>In this study, we clarify the actual conditions and backgrounds of isolated deaths at temporary housing and recovery housing in disaster area, conducting statistical analyses based on death certificates. The results are as follows, 1) The ages of those who die alone are higher at recovery housing than temporary housing. At recovery housing, it also takes longer for discovery. The main reason for this is young people under age fifty with isolation risks such as remaining unemployed and single. 2) At temporary housing, family and neighbors mitigate the isolation risks, while their roles decline at recovery housing. 3) Location of recovery housing has little connection with isolation of disaster victims. One of the factors seems to be that the isolated condition has already been established before moving into recovery housing. Community-conscious safety nets should be in place especially in the early stage of restoring stable living.</p>

著者

糸井川 栄一 富塚 伸一郎

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.30, pp.43-51, 2017-03-24 (Released:2018-04-27)

参考文献数

9

---

When a large earthquake happens in major city, a great number of post-earthquake fires would occur and expand in densely wooden buildings built up area. Furthermore, it is estimated that the number of fires would exceed the number of the pumper trucks in the suffered area. And the pumper trucks would face to difficulty of forward movement to firing area because of many street blockades by building collapse. Therefore, aerial firefighting by helicopters is needed. This study aims to clarify the relation between the firing properties in a burning area and the dropping water by helicopters. According to the numerical experiments based on the fire engineering methods, it becomes clear that there is a close relationship between marginal distance of the spread between two buildings and frequency of dropping water by helicopters. In addition, we clarified the requirements of urban area where is more effective to drop water by helicopters.

著者

山浦 浩太 糸井川 栄一 熊谷 良雄 梅本 通孝

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.10, pp.377-385, 2008-11-14 (Released:2019-04-18)

参考文献数

12

---

In the Japanese postwar era, flood control measures focused mainly on river improvements and dams. Meanwhile, urbanization gave birth to new flood risks, so comprehensive flood control measures that have storage facilities, osmosis plants, and soft measures began. This thesis aims to test the hypothesis that these new flood control measures have not only physical effects but also psychological effects to risk perception. By conducting a questionnaire survey, it became clear that recognition of flood control measures is important in the formation of flood risk perception.

著者

木村 玲欧 田村 圭子 井ノ口 宗成 林 春男 立木 茂雄

出版者

一般社団法人 地域安全学会

雑誌

地域安全学会論文集 (ISSN:13452088)

巻号頁・発行日

vol.27, pp.35-45, 2015-11-13 (Released:2017-08-02)

参考文献数

19

---

We conducted a random sampled questionnaire survey of disaster victims of the Great Hanshin-Awaji (Kobe) Earthquake Disaster. We clarified victims’ situation and problems of sixteenth year in life recovery process. We set the "recovery follow-up phase" as the sixth stage in life recovery process. We analyzed changing of victims residence, victims awareness and life recovery feeling, life recovery process using life recovery calendar method and attaching the meaning to disaster experience. As a result, for victims of the fully damaged houses or independent business men,we found that they need follow-up recovery aides in more than ten years after earthquake.